**Incumbent Democrat Brad Schneider's commanding position in Illinois' 10th Congressional District drives trader consensus at 94.5% for a Democratic House win, reflecting the district's D+12 Cook Partisan Voting Index and Solid Democratic ratings from forecasters like Cook Political Report.** Schneider advanced handily from the March 17, 2026, Democratic primary over challenger Morgan Coghill, while Republican Carl Lambrecht secured his nomination unopposed. With no competitive polling shifts in recent weeks and Schneider's history of routine reelections since 2017, the market prices in low upset risk ahead of the November 2026 general election. Realistic challenges would require a major scandal, health issue for Schneider, or overwhelming national Republican wave, though historical base rates for safe seats favor incumbency stability.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоIL-10 House Election Winner
IL-10 House Election Winner
$15,811 Обс.
$15,811 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$15,811 Обс.
$15,811 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$14,498 Обс.
95%
Republican Party
$1,313 Обс.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent Democrat Brad Schneider's commanding position in Illinois' 10th Congressional District drives trader consensus at 94.5% for a Democratic House win, reflecting the district's D+12 Cook Partisan Voting Index and Solid Democratic ratings from forecasters like Cook Political Report.** Schneider advanced handily from the March 17, 2026, Democratic primary over challenger Morgan Coghill, while Republican Carl Lambrecht secured his nomination unopposed. With no competitive polling shifts in recent weeks and Schneider's history of routine reelections since 2017, the market prices in low upset risk ahead of the November 2026 general election. Realistic challenges would require a major scandal, health issue for Schneider, or overwhelming national Republican wave, though historical base rates for safe seats favor incumbency stability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Обсяг
$15,811Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent Democrat Brad Schneider's commanding position in Illinois' 10th Congressional District drives trader consensus at 94.5% for a Democratic House win, reflecting the district's D+12 Cook Partisan Voting Index and Solid Democratic ratings from forecasters like Cook Political Report.** Schneider advanced handily from the March 17, 2026, Democratic primary over challenger Morgan Coghill, while Republican Carl Lambrecht secured his nomination unopposed. With no competitive polling shifts in recent weeks and Schneider's history of routine reelections since 2017, the market prices in low upset risk ahead of the November 2026 general election. Realistic challenges would require a major scandal, health issue for Schneider, or overwhelming national Republican wave, though historical base rates for safe seats favor incumbency stability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$15,811Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Incumbent Democrat Brad Schneider's commanding position in Illinois' 10th Congressional District drives trader consensus at 94.5% for a Democratic House win, reflecting the district's D+12 Cook Partisan Voting Index and Solid Democratic ratings from forecasters like Cook Political Report.** Schneider advanced handily from the March 17, 2026, Democratic primary over challenger Morgan Coghill, while Republican Carl Lambrecht secured his nomination unopposed. With no competitive polling shifts in recent weeks and Schneider's history of routine reelections since 2017, the market prices in low upset risk ahead of the November 2026 general election. Realistic challenges would require a major scandal, health issue for Schneider, or overwhelming national Republican wave, though historical base rates for safe seats favor incumbency stability.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання