Anthropic’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 and rapid revenue growth—annualized run rate surpassing $65 billion by July and projected above $100 billion by year-end—have positioned the Claude developer for a near-term IPO, with recent reporting confirming a shift from an October target to November 2026. Advisors cite the need to present full third-quarter results and finalize a $15 billion credit facility before the roadshow, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 48% November and 22.6% December implied probabilities. A potential $2 trillion valuation and up to $100 billion raise would set records, though market conditions, AI safety debates, and competition from OpenAI introduce timing uncertainty. The public prospectus is now expected in late September, with marketing targeted for mid-October ahead of the November midterms.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNovember 2026 48.0%
December 2026 22.6%
January 2027 9.4%
March 2027 4.9%
$252,163 Обс.
$252,163 Обс.
September 2026
<1%
October 2026
3%
November 2026
48%
December 2026
23%
January 2027
9%
February 2027
4%
March 2027
5%
April 2027
2%
May 2027
1%
June 2027
1%
July 2027
1%
August 2027
<1%
September 2027
1%
October 2027
1%
November 2027
1%
December 2027
1%
No IPO before 2028
2%
November 2026 48.0%
December 2026 22.6%
January 2027 9.4%
March 2027 4.9%
$252,163 Обс.
$252,163 Обс.
September 2026
<1%
October 2026
3%
November 2026
48%
December 2026
23%
January 2027
9%
February 2027
4%
March 2027
5%
April 2027
2%
May 2027
1%
June 2027
1%
July 2027
1%
August 2027
<1%
September 2027
1%
October 2027
1%
November 2027
1%
December 2027
1%
No IPO before 2028
2%
An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing.
If Anthropic goes public through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, including a special purpose acquisition company, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 19, 2026, 9:36 AM ET
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing.
If Anthropic goes public through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, including a special purpose acquisition company, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 and rapid revenue growth—annualized run rate surpassing $65 billion by July and projected above $100 billion by year-end—have positioned the Claude developer for a near-term IPO, with recent reporting confirming a shift from an October target to November 2026. Advisors cite the need to present full third-quarter results and finalize a $15 billion credit facility before the roadshow, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 48% November and 22.6% December implied probabilities. A potential $2 trillion valuation and up to $100 billion raise would set records, though market conditions, AI safety debates, and competition from OpenAI introduce timing uncertainty. The public prospectus is now expected in late September, with marketing targeted for mid-October ahead of the November midterms.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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