Recent polling averages place The Democrats, the Labor-Meretz merger contesting the October 27, 2026 Knesset election, in the 8–11 seat range, with most surveys showing 9–11 mandates amid competition from Yashar and Together for overlapping center-left and anti-incumbent voters. Trader consensus across the 8–14 seat bands reflects uncertainty over final candidate list submissions due September 9, bloc cohesion within the broader opposition, turnout differentials, and any security developments that could shift voter priorities before election day. The tight pricing between 10–11 and 14+ outcomes highlights how modest swings in undecided voters or threshold dynamics for smaller lists could still alter the party's final allocation.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено8-9 43%
14+ 37%
12-13 33%
<8 26%
<8
26%
8-9
43%
10-11
38%
12-13
33%
14+
37%
8-9 43%
14+ 37%
12-13 33%
<8 26%
<8
26%
8-9
43%
10-11
38%
12-13
33%
14+
37%
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Democrats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Democrats in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Ринок відкрито: Sep 4, 2026, 6:13 PM ET
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Democrats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Democrats in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place The Democrats, the Labor-Meretz merger contesting the October 27, 2026 Knesset election, in the 8–11 seat range, with most surveys showing 9–11 mandates amid competition from Yashar and Together for overlapping center-left and anti-incumbent voters. Trader consensus across the 8–14 seat bands reflects uncertainty over final candidate list submissions due September 9, bloc cohesion within the broader opposition, turnout differentials, and any security developments that could shift voter priorities before election day. The tight pricing between 10–11 and 14+ outcomes highlights how modest swings in undecided voters or threshold dynamics for smaller lists could still alter the party's final allocation.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено



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