The @khamenei_ir account, which continues to issue statements tied to Iran's supreme leadership following Ali Khamenei's February 2026 assassination and the transition to Mojtaba Khamenei, has shown consistently low posting volume in recent weeks. Activity has consisted mainly of occasional archival quotes on topics such as family policy and international relations, with just one post recorded on May 15 and none in the immediate days after. This pattern aligns with the account's established rhythm of selective, non-daily updates rather than real-time commentary, even amid ongoing regional tensions. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probability to under five posts for the May 15–22 window, reflecting both historical frequency and the absence of events likely to trigger higher output before the period closes.