Current National Weather Service forecasts point to an overnight low near 55°F for Denver on September 15 under scattered thunderstorms and a moderating northerly flow, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 52–55°F bins. Key differentiators include cloud cover and precipitation timing, which limit radiational cooling, versus clearer intervals that could allow temperatures to dip toward the mid-40s if dew points fall and winds remain light. Model consensus from recent GFS and ECMWF runs shows limited spread in minimum temperatures, though small shifts in frontal timing or moisture could alter outcomes. Historical September 15 lows average 49.6°F, providing context for the elevated trader-implied probabilities near 52–53°F. Final forecast updates before local midnight will likely refine these odds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Denver on September 15?
Lowest temperature in Denver on September 15?
45°F or below 56%
64°F or higher 55%
58-59°F 38%
60-61°F 38%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 15, 2026
45°F or below
56%
46-47°F
13%
48-49°F
18%
50-51°F
25%
52-53°F
31%
54-55°F
28%
56-57°F
22%
58-59°F
38%
60-61°F
38%
62-63°F
13%
64°F or higher
55%
45°F or below 56%
64°F or higher 55%
58-59°F 38%
60-61°F 38%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 15, 2026
45°F or below
$0 Обс.
56%
46-47°F
$0 Обс.
13%
48-49°F
$0 Обс.
18%
50-51°F
$0 Обс.
25%
52-53°F
$0 Обс.
31%
54-55°F
$0 Обс.
28%
56-57°F
$0 Обс.
22%
58-59°F
$0 Обс.
38%
60-61°F
$0 Обс.
38%
62-63°F
$0 Обс.
13%
64°F or higher
$0 Обс.
55%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service forecasts point to an overnight low near 55°F for Denver on September 15 under scattered thunderstorms and a moderating northerly flow, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 52–55°F bins. Key differentiators include cloud cover and precipitation timing, which limit radiational cooling, versus clearer intervals that could allow temperatures to dip toward the mid-40s if dew points fall and winds remain light. Model consensus from recent GFS and ECMWF runs shows limited spread in minimum temperatures, though small shifts in frontal timing or moisture could alter outcomes. Historical September 15 lows average 49.6°F, providing context for the elevated trader-implied probabilities near 52–53°F. Final forecast updates before local midnight will likely refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service forecasts point to an overnight low near 55°F for Denver on September 15 under scattered thunderstorms and a moderating northerly flow, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 52–55°F bins. Key differentiators include cloud cover and precipitation timing, which limit radiational cooling, versus clearer intervals that could allow temperatures to dip toward the mid-40s if dew points fall and winds remain light. Model consensus from recent GFS and ECMWF runs shows limited spread in minimum temperatures, though small shifts in frontal timing or moisture could alter outcomes. Historical September 15 lows average 49.6°F, providing context for the elevated trader-implied probabilities near 52–53°F. Final forecast updates before local midnight will likely refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service forecasts point to an overnight low near 55°F for Denver on September 15 under scattered thunderstorms and a moderating northerly flow, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 52–55°F bins. Key differentiators include cloud cover and precipitation timing, which limit radiational cooling, versus clearer intervals that could allow temperatures to dip toward the mid-40s if dew points fall and winds remain light. Model consensus from recent GFS and ECMWF runs shows limited spread in minimum temperatures, though small shifts in frontal timing or moisture could alter outcomes. Historical September 15 lows average 49.6°F, providing context for the elevated trader-implied probabilities near 52–53°F. Final forecast updates before local midnight will likely refine these odds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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