**Trader consensus strongly favors 28°C as the lowest temperature recorded in Hong Kong on August 28, 2026, with market-implied odds exceeding 99%.** This positioning reflects verified observations from the Hong Kong Observatory (HKO), the authoritative source for official minimum temperature data used in such markets. Recent daily extracts and historical weather summaries confirm a minimum of 28°C under persistent rainy conditions, consistent with the day's synoptic pattern of widespread cloud cover, showers, and limited diurnal cooling. Supporting context includes regional model consensus and station data showing nighttime temperatures holding near or above 28°C amid high humidity and light winds, preventing the typical drop below that threshold. Historical August baselines for Hong Kong average minimums around 25–27°C, but this day's specific atmospheric setup—driven by lingering monsoon influences and cloud cover—kept readings elevated. Traders with skin in the game aggregate these official measurements and near-real-time station reports, creating a high-confidence outcome. Realistic scenarios that could challenge the 28°C resolution include a post-event data revision by HKO, a discrepancy in the exact reporting station or time window used for market settlement, or an overlooked microscale cooling event at the primary observatory site. New observational adjustments or clarifications on resolution criteria would be the primary catalysts for any shift.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 28?
28°C 99.8%
27°C <1%
25°C <1%
29°C <1%
$19,884 Обс.
$19,884 Обс.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 99.8%
27°C <1%
25°C <1%
29°C <1%
$19,884 Обс.
$19,884 Обс.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus strongly favors 28°C as the lowest temperature recorded in Hong Kong on August 28, 2026, with market-implied odds exceeding 99%.** This positioning reflects verified observations from the Hong Kong Observatory (HKO), the authoritative source for official minimum temperature data used in such markets. Recent daily extracts and historical weather summaries confirm a minimum of 28°C under persistent rainy conditions, consistent with the day's synoptic pattern of widespread cloud cover, showers, and limited diurnal cooling. Supporting context includes regional model consensus and station data showing nighttime temperatures holding near or above 28°C amid high humidity and light winds, preventing the typical drop below that threshold. Historical August baselines for Hong Kong average minimums around 25–27°C, but this day's specific atmospheric setup—driven by lingering monsoon influences and cloud cover—kept readings elevated. Traders with skin in the game aggregate these official measurements and near-real-time station reports, creating a high-confidence outcome. Realistic scenarios that could challenge the 28°C resolution include a post-event data revision by HKO, a discrepancy in the exact reporting station or time window used for market settlement, or an overlooked microscale cooling event at the primary observatory site. New observational adjustments or clarifications on resolution criteria would be the primary catalysts for any shift.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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