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icon for Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 31?

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 31?

icon for Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 31?

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 31?

26°C 39%

25°C 23%

27°C 23%

28°C 16%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

26°C 39%

25°C 23%

27°C 23%

28°C 16%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

21°C or below

$0 Обс.

4%

22°C

$0 Обс.

9%

23°C

$0 Обс.

14%

24°C

$0 Обс.

15%

25°C

$0 Обс.

23%

26°C

$0 Обс.

39%

27°C

$0 Обс.

23%

28°C

$0 Обс.

16%

29°C

$0 Обс.

9%

30°C

$0 Обс.

2%

31°C or higher

$0 Обс.

12%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a minimum near 26°C on August 31 amid a broad low-pressure trough sustaining showers and thunderstorms, with highs around 30°C and elevated humidity (75-95%) that moderates nighttime cooling. Ensemble guidance shows slight variations in overnight minima between 25-27°C depending on rainfall timing, cloud cover, and shifting winds from southwest to easterly directions. These conditions align with late-summer climatology for the region while the developing El Niño backdrop supports overall warmth. Traders have concentrated probability on 25-27°C outcomes, reflecting model consensus tempered by uncertainty in convective activity and the final observational reading used for market resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$0
Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET

Вирішувач

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a minimum near 26°C on August 31 amid a broad low-pressure trough sustaining showers and thunderstorms, with highs around 30°C and elevated humidity (75-95%) that moderates nighttime cooling. Ensemble guidance shows slight variations in overnight minima between 25-27°C depending on rainfall timing, cloud cover, and shifting winds from southwest to easterly directions. These conditions align with late-summer climatology for the region while the developing El Niño backdrop supports overall warmth. Traders have concentrated probability on 25-27°C outcomes, reflecting model consensus tempered by uncertainty in convective activity and the final observational reading used for market resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$0
Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET

Вирішувач

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 31?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 11 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «26°C» з 39%, далі «25°C» з 23%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 31?» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Aug 29, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 31?», перегляньте 11 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 31?» — «26°C» з 39%. Наступний — «25°C» з 23%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 31?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.