**Forecast uncertainty from a passing weather system and variable nocturnal cooling is the main driver of the closely matched market odds.** Recent thunderstorms and showers across northern Italy on September 17 have introduced cooler, moister air with elevated dew points, while lingering clouds and light easterly winds on the 18th limit radiative cooling overnight. Ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS shows minimum temperatures clustered around 16–18°C, but small shifts in cloud cover, precipitation timing, or boundary-layer mixing could push the daily low several degrees lower (favoring the 12°C-or-below bucket) or keep it milder (supporting outcomes near or above 20–22°C). Historical mid-September minima in Milan average near 16°C, so the near-even split between the leading buckets reflects genuine model disagreement rather than a strong directional signal. Updated high-resolution runs and clearer satellite trends ahead of the 18th will likely narrow the range before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Milan on September 18?
Lowest temperature in Milan on September 18?
12°C or below 100%
22°C or higher 98%
17°C 40%
18°C 40%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 18, 2026
12°C or below
100%
13°C
39%
14°C
39%
15°C
39%
16°C
39%
17°C
40%
18°C
40%
19°C
39%
20°C
36%
21°C
39%
22°C or higher
98%
12°C or below 100%
22°C or higher 98%
17°C 40%
18°C 40%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 18, 2026
12°C or below
$0 Обс.
100%
13°C
$0 Обс.
39%
14°C
$0 Обс.
39%
15°C
$0 Обс.
39%
16°C
$0 Обс.
39%
17°C
$0 Обс.
40%
18°C
$0 Обс.
40%
19°C
$0 Обс.
39%
20°C
$0 Обс.
36%
21°C
$0 Обс.
39%
22°C or higher
$0 Обс.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast uncertainty from a passing weather system and variable nocturnal cooling is the main driver of the closely matched market odds.**
Recent thunderstorms and showers across northern Italy on September 17 have introduced cooler, moister air with elevated dew points, while lingering clouds and light easterly winds on the 18th limit radiative cooling overnight. Ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS shows minimum temperatures clustered around 16–18°C, but small shifts in cloud cover, precipitation timing, or boundary-layer mixing could push the daily low several degrees lower (favoring the 12°C-or-below bucket) or keep it milder (supporting outcomes near or above 20–22°C). Historical mid-September minima in Milan average near 16°C, so the near-even split between the leading buckets reflects genuine model disagreement rather than a strong directional signal. Updated high-resolution runs and clearer satellite trends ahead of the 18th will likely narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast uncertainty from a passing weather system and variable nocturnal cooling is the main driver of the closely matched market odds.**
Recent thunderstorms and showers across northern Italy on September 17 have introduced cooler, moister air with elevated dew points, while lingering clouds and light easterly winds on the 18th limit radiative cooling overnight. Ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS shows minimum temperatures clustered around 16–18°C, but small shifts in cloud cover, precipitation timing, or boundary-layer mixing could push the daily low several degrees lower (favoring the 12°C-or-below bucket) or keep it milder (supporting outcomes near or above 20–22°C). Historical mid-September minima in Milan average near 16°C, so the near-even split between the leading buckets reflects genuine model disagreement rather than a strong directional signal. Updated high-resolution runs and clearer satellite trends ahead of the 18th will likely narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast uncertainty from a passing weather system and variable nocturnal cooling is the main driver of the closely matched market odds.** Recent thunderstorms and showers across northern Italy on September 17 have introduced cooler, moister air with elevated dew points, while lingering clouds and light easterly winds on the 18th limit radiative cooling overnight. Ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS shows minimum temperatures clustered around 16–18°C, but small shifts in cloud cover, precipitation timing, or boundary-layer mixing could push the daily low several degrees lower (favoring the 12°C-or-below bucket) or keep it milder (supporting outcomes near or above 20–22°C). Historical mid-September minima in Milan average near 16°C, so the near-even split between the leading buckets reflects genuine model disagreement rather than a strong directional signal. Updated high-resolution runs and clearer satellite trends ahead of the 18th will likely narrow the range before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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