Current forecasts from sources including AccuWeather, ECMWF, and Met Office indicate Moscow's overnight minimum on August 21 will likely fall in the 13–16°C range under partly cloudy to overcast skies, light westerly winds, and minimal precipitation, limiting radiative cooling. Moscow’s humid continental climate features typical late-August lows near 13–15°C as solar input declines, with model consensus showing modest nocturnal temperature drops influenced by urban heat retention and boundary-layer mixing. Trader positioning around 9–14°C reflects uncertainty in exact timing of the daily minimum, cloud-cover variations that could enhance or suppress cooling by 2–4°C, and potential for brief clear intervals promoting greater heat loss. Updated model runs and official observations will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Moscow on August 21?
9°C or below 85%
11°C 61%
10°C 58%
12°C 35%
9°C or below
85%
10°C
58%
11°C
61%
12°C
35%
13°C
35%
14°C
35%
15°C
34%
16°C
2%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
9°C or below 85%
11°C 61%
10°C 58%
12°C 35%
9°C or below
85%
10°C
58%
11°C
61%
12°C
35%
13°C
35%
14°C
35%
15°C
34%
16°C
2%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from sources including AccuWeather, ECMWF, and Met Office indicate Moscow's overnight minimum on August 21 will likely fall in the 13–16°C range under partly cloudy to overcast skies, light westerly winds, and minimal precipitation, limiting radiative cooling. Moscow’s humid continental climate features typical late-August lows near 13–15°C as solar input declines, with model consensus showing modest nocturnal temperature drops influenced by urban heat retention and boundary-layer mixing. Trader positioning around 9–14°C reflects uncertainty in exact timing of the daily minimum, cloud-cover variations that could enhance or suppress cooling by 2–4°C, and potential for brief clear intervals promoting greater heat loss. Updated model runs and official observations will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання