Recent forecasts from models including GFS and DWD indicate clear to mostly clear skies over Munich on September 4, 2026, with light west-southwesterly winds and dew points near 12–14°C supporting overnight radiative cooling. This setup favors minimum temperatures clustered in the mid-teens Celsius, consistent with the market’s tight grouping of 13–18°C outcomes. Historical September 4 averages show a low of 11.8°C, while recent years range from 9–17°C; current high-pressure dominance and absence of frontal systems or significant moisture limit downside risk below 13°C and cap upside above 18°C. Traders weigh subtle model differences in boundary-layer mixing and cloud timing, which can shift the exact low by 1–2°C. Updated runs ahead of the overnight period will refine these probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Munich on September 4?
Lowest temperature in Munich on September 4?
13°C 88%
14°C 88%
15°C 88%
16°C 88%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 4, 2026
12°C or below
49%
13°C
88%
14°C
88%
15°C
88%
16°C
88%
17°C
88%
18°C
88%
19°C
15%
20°C
2%
21°C
8%
22°C or higher
8%
13°C 88%
14°C 88%
15°C 88%
16°C 88%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 4, 2026
12°C or below
$0 Обс.
49%
13°C
$0 Обс.
88%
14°C
$0 Обс.
88%
15°C
$0 Обс.
88%
16°C
$0 Обс.
88%
17°C
$0 Обс.
88%
18°C
$0 Обс.
88%
19°C
$0 Обс.
15%
20°C
$0 Обс.
2%
21°C
$0 Обс.
8%
22°C or higher
$0 Обс.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including GFS and DWD indicate clear to mostly clear skies over Munich on September 4, 2026, with light west-southwesterly winds and dew points near 12–14°C supporting overnight radiative cooling. This setup favors minimum temperatures clustered in the mid-teens Celsius, consistent with the market’s tight grouping of 13–18°C outcomes. Historical September 4 averages show a low of 11.8°C, while recent years range from 9–17°C; current high-pressure dominance and absence of frontal systems or significant moisture limit downside risk below 13°C and cap upside above 18°C. Traders weigh subtle model differences in boundary-layer mixing and cloud timing, which can shift the exact low by 1–2°C. Updated runs ahead of the overnight period will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including GFS and DWD indicate clear to mostly clear skies over Munich on September 4, 2026, with light west-southwesterly winds and dew points near 12–14°C supporting overnight radiative cooling. This setup favors minimum temperatures clustered in the mid-teens Celsius, consistent with the market’s tight grouping of 13–18°C outcomes. Historical September 4 averages show a low of 11.8°C, while recent years range from 9–17°C; current high-pressure dominance and absence of frontal systems or significant moisture limit downside risk below 13°C and cap upside above 18°C. Traders weigh subtle model differences in boundary-layer mixing and cloud timing, which can shift the exact low by 1–2°C. Updated runs ahead of the overnight period will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models including GFS and DWD indicate clear to mostly clear skies over Munich on September 4, 2026, with light west-southwesterly winds and dew points near 12–14°C supporting overnight radiative cooling. This setup favors minimum temperatures clustered in the mid-teens Celsius, consistent with the market’s tight grouping of 13–18°C outcomes. Historical September 4 averages show a low of 11.8°C, while recent years range from 9–17°C; current high-pressure dominance and absence of frontal systems or significant moisture limit downside risk below 13°C and cap upside above 18°C. Traders weigh subtle model differences in boundary-layer mixing and cloud timing, which can shift the exact low by 1–2°C. Updated runs ahead of the overnight period will refine these probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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