Current forecast models from agencies like MetService and international ensembles indicate a mild spring pattern for Wellington on September 6, with nighttime lows likely near 11–12°C amid strong northwesterlies shifting to southerlies, cloud cover, and showers from an advancing front. This aligns with seasonal norms for early spring in the region, where average September minima hover around 9–11°C, though El Niño influences and variable steering patterns introduce spread in model runs. Trader consensus splits between sub-9°C and 18°C+ outcomes at roughly 34.5% each because rapid wind shifts and frontal passages can produce sharper cooling or brief warming than ensembles currently resolve, while mid-range bins around 11–13°C capture the narrower consensus from recent observational trends. Updated model guidance and official briefings in the next 48 hours will likely tighten these probabilities as land-based measurements clarify the overnight minimum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Wellington on September 6?
Lowest temperature in Wellington on September 6?
8°C or below 69%
18°C or higher 69%
10°C 49%
14°C 49%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 6, 2026
8°C or below
69%
9°C
43%
10°C
49%
11°C
26%
12°C
26%
13°C
26%
14°C
49%
15°C
49%
16°C
8%
17°C
2%
18°C or higher
69%
8°C or below 69%
18°C or higher 69%
10°C 49%
14°C 49%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 6, 2026
8°C or below
$0 Обс.
69%
9°C
$0 Обс.
43%
10°C
$0 Обс.
49%
11°C
$0 Обс.
26%
12°C
$0 Обс.
26%
13°C
$0 Обс.
26%
14°C
$0 Обс.
49%
15°C
$0 Обс.
49%
16°C
$0 Обс.
8%
17°C
$0 Обс.
2%
18°C or higher
$0 Обс.
69%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies like MetService and international ensembles indicate a mild spring pattern for Wellington on September 6, with nighttime lows likely near 11–12°C amid strong northwesterlies shifting to southerlies, cloud cover, and showers from an advancing front. This aligns with seasonal norms for early spring in the region, where average September minima hover around 9–11°C, though El Niño influences and variable steering patterns introduce spread in model runs. Trader consensus splits between sub-9°C and 18°C+ outcomes at roughly 34.5% each because rapid wind shifts and frontal passages can produce sharper cooling or brief warming than ensembles currently resolve, while mid-range bins around 11–13°C capture the narrower consensus from recent observational trends. Updated model guidance and official briefings in the next 48 hours will likely tighten these probabilities as land-based measurements clarify the overnight minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies like MetService and international ensembles indicate a mild spring pattern for Wellington on September 6, with nighttime lows likely near 11–12°C amid strong northwesterlies shifting to southerlies, cloud cover, and showers from an advancing front. This aligns with seasonal norms for early spring in the region, where average September minima hover around 9–11°C, though El Niño influences and variable steering patterns introduce spread in model runs. Trader consensus splits between sub-9°C and 18°C+ outcomes at roughly 34.5% each because rapid wind shifts and frontal passages can produce sharper cooling or brief warming than ensembles currently resolve, while mid-range bins around 11–13°C capture the narrower consensus from recent observational trends. Updated model guidance and official briefings in the next 48 hours will likely tighten these probabilities as land-based measurements clarify the overnight minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from agencies like MetService and international ensembles indicate a mild spring pattern for Wellington on September 6, with nighttime lows likely near 11–12°C amid strong northwesterlies shifting to southerlies, cloud cover, and showers from an advancing front. This aligns with seasonal norms for early spring in the region, where average September minima hover around 9–11°C, though El Niño influences and variable steering patterns introduce spread in model runs. Trader consensus splits between sub-9°C and 18°C+ outcomes at roughly 34.5% each because rapid wind shifts and frontal passages can produce sharper cooling or brief warming than ensembles currently resolve, while mid-range bins around 11–13°C capture the narrower consensus from recent observational trends. Updated model guidance and official briefings in the next 48 hours will likely tighten these probabilities as land-based measurements clarify the overnight minimum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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