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Вибори·Глобальні вибори

Next Premier of Quebec

icon for Next Premier of Quebec
Вибори·Глобальні вибори

Next Premier of Quebec

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon 66%

Charles Milliard 23%

Christine Fréchette 18.2%

Éric Duhaime 1.3%

Polymarket

$27,087 Обс.

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon 66%

Charles Milliard 23%

Christine Fréchette 18.2%

Éric Duhaime 1.3%

Polymarket

$27,087 Обс.

icon for Paul St-Pierre Plamondon

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon

$5,848 Обс.

65%

icon for Charles Milliard

Charles Milliard

$2,847 Обс.

23%

icon for Christine Fréchette

Christine Fréchette

$3,267 Обс.

12%

icon for Éric Duhaime

Éric Duhaime

$6,162 Обс.

1%

icon for Sol Zanetti

Sol Zanetti

$1,795 Обс.

<1%

icon for Ruba Ghazal

Ruba Ghazal

$2,789 Обс.

<1%

icon for Bernard Drainville

Bernard Drainville

$4,379 Обс.

<1%

The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent polling trends position Parti Québécois Leader Paul St-Pierre Plamondon as the frontrunner for Quebec's October 2026 general election, with his party holding steady or slight leads over the Liberals in francophone ridings that favor majority seat projections in the National Assembly. Plamondon's consistent byelection wins and emphasis on sovereignty without immediate referendum triggers have sustained trader confidence at the current 64.5% implied probability. Charles Milliard has revived Liberal support since his February acclamation, closing gaps in urban and anglophone areas to reflect the 22.0% market share. Christine Fréchette's April ascension as CAQ premier following François Legault's January resignation has not reversed the party's sharp decline in overall support, capping her odds at 12.2%. Éric Duhaime and other minor candidates remain marginal amid the two-party contest dynamic ahead of the fixed election date.

The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$27,087
Дата завершення
Oct 5, 2026
Ринок відкрито
May 1, 2026, 6:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent polling trends position Parti Québécois Leader Paul St-Pierre Plamondon as the frontrunner for Quebec's October 2026 general election, with his party holding steady or slight leads over the Liberals in francophone ridings that favor majority seat projections in the National Assembly. Plamondon's consistent byelection wins and emphasis on sovereignty without immediate referendum triggers have sustained trader confidence at the current 64.5% implied probability. Charles Milliard has revived Liberal support since his February acclamation, closing gaps in urban and anglophone areas to reflect the 22.0% market share. Christine Fréchette's April ascension as CAQ premier following François Legault's January resignation has not reversed the party's sharp decline in overall support, capping her odds at 12.2%. Éric Duhaime and other minor candidates remain marginal amid the two-party contest dynamic ahead of the fixed election date.

The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$27,087
Дата завершення
Oct 5, 2026
Ринок відкрито
May 1, 2026, 6:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Next Premier of Quebec» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 7 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Paul St-Pierre Plamondon» з 65%, далі «Charles Milliard» з 23%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Next Premier of Quebec» згенерував $27.1K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку May 1, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Next Premier of Quebec», перегляньте 7 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Next Premier of Quebec» — «Paul St-Pierre Plamondon» з 65%. Наступний — «Charles Milliard» з 23%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Next Premier of Quebec» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.