Traders assign the highest probabilities to the People Power Party securing two or three parliamentary seats in South Korea’s June 3 by-elections because national polling averages show the opposition PPP trailing the ruling Democratic Party by wide margins, with support near 20 percent against the DP’s 45-48 percent. Recent candidate nominations and internal party distancing from leadership have underscored structural weaknesses following the prior administration’s controversies, while the DP benefits from incumbency advantages under President Lee Jae-myung. Analysts note that competitive districts and limited PPP momentum in conservative strongholds reinforce expectations of modest gains rather than a broader recovery, with outcomes likely to hinge on turnout and localized swings in the final weeks before voting.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено# of seats won by PPP in South Korea by-elections?
# of seats won by PPP in South Korea by-elections?
3 49%
2 32%
1 14.9%
4 8.3%
$39,171 Обс.
$39,171 Обс.
Jun 3, 2026
0
4%
1
8%
2
32%
3
44%
4
8%
5
3%
6+
1%
3 49%
2 32%
1 14.9%
4 8.3%
$39,171 Обс.
$39,171 Обс.
Jun 3, 2026
0
$4,538 Обс.
4%
1
$4,815 Обс.
8%
2
$11,758 Обс.
32%
3
$5,669 Обс.
44%
4
$4,936 Обс.
8%
5
$2,748 Обс.
3%
6+
$4,707 Обс.
1%
At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the People Power Party (PP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the People Power Party in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.Traders assign the highest probabilities to the People Power Party securing two or three parliamentary seats in South Korea’s June 3 by-elections because national polling averages show the opposition PPP trailing the ruling Democratic Party by wide margins, with support near 20 percent against the DP’s 45-48 percent. Recent candidate nominations and internal party distancing from leadership have underscored structural weaknesses following the prior administration’s controversies, while the DP benefits from incumbency advantages under President Lee Jae-myung. Analysts note that competitive districts and limited PPP momentum in conservative strongholds reinforce expectations of modest gains rather than a broader recovery, with outcomes likely to hinge on turnout and localized swings in the final weeks before voting.
At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the People Power Party (PP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the People Power Party in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the People Power Party (PP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the People Power Party in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
Ринок відкрито: Feb 12, 2026, 4:14 PM ET
Обсяг
$39,171Дата завершення
Jun 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Feb 12, 2026, 4:14 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the People Power Party (PP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the People Power Party in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.Traders assign the highest probabilities to the People Power Party securing two or three parliamentary seats in South Korea’s June 3 by-elections because national polling averages show the opposition PPP trailing the ruling Democratic Party by wide margins, with support near 20 percent against the DP’s 45-48 percent. Recent candidate nominations and internal party distancing from leadership have underscored structural weaknesses following the prior administration’s controversies, while the DP benefits from incumbency advantages under President Lee Jae-myung. Analysts note that competitive districts and limited PPP momentum in conservative strongholds reinforce expectations of modest gains rather than a broader recovery, with outcomes likely to hinge on turnout and localized swings in the final weeks before voting.
At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the People Power Party (PP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the People Power Party in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the People Power Party (PP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the People Power Party in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
Обсяг
$39,171Дата завершення
Jun 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Feb 12, 2026, 4:14 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Traders assign the highest probabilities to the People Power Party securing two or three parliamentary seats in South Korea’s June 3 by-elections because national polling averages show the opposition PPP trailing the ruling Democratic Party by wide margins, with support near 20 percent against the DP’s 45-48 percent. Recent candidate nominations and internal party distancing from leadership have underscored structural weaknesses following the prior administration’s controversies, while the DP benefits from incumbency advantages under President Lee Jae-myung. Analysts note that competitive districts and limited PPP momentum in conservative strongholds reinforce expectations of modest gains rather than a broader recovery, with outcomes likely to hinge on turnout and localized swings in the final weeks before voting.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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