Park Chan-dae's dominant trader consensus at 96% in the Incheon mayoral race reflects his substantial leads in recent polls ahead of the June 3 local elections, including a May survey showing him ahead of incumbent Yoo Jeong-bok by over 25 percentage points and another placing him above 50% in head-to-head matchups. As the Democratic Party challenger backed by President Lee Jae-myung's administration, Park benefits from ruling party momentum sweeping national polling trends, even against Yoo's People Power Party incumbency and pledges on transit expansions like GTX and KTX. Recent campaign contrasts highlight Park's biotech capital vision versus Yoo's proven track record. Despite the lopsided odds, a scandal, low turnout favoring conservatives, or late national developments could challenge the outcome before polls close.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоReport of open conflict at Incheon PPP meeting: Yoon Sang‑hyun warns “public sentiment in Seoul metro area is turning against us,” confirming internal turmoil and eroding
Yoon Sang‑hyun dips to 0%2%
Report of open conflict at Incheon PPP meeting: Yoon Sang‑hyun warns “public sentiment in Seoul metro area is turning against us,” confirming internal turmoil and eroding confidence in his candidacy
Early‑voting equipment demonstration held at Incheon City Election Commission, highlighting the upcoming election but featuring no mention of Bae June‑young as a candidate – Media
Early‑voting equipment demonstration held at Incheon City Election Commission, highlighting the upcoming election but featuring no mention of Bae June‑young as a candidate – Media coverage of the election process without any reference to Bae reinforced market consensus that she would not be on the ballot.
People Power Party’s Supreme Council meeting in Incheon again features Yoon Sang‑hyun urging decisive action, underscoring internal conflict and the party’s fear of losing the
Yoon Sang‑hyun dips to 0%2%
People Power Party’s Supreme Council meeting in Incheon again features Yoon Sang‑hyun urging decisive action, underscoring internal conflict and the party’s fear of losing the Incheon mayoral race
Yoon Sang‑hyun again calls for “decisive action” at a PPP Supreme Council meeting, but the party’s agenda centers on expanding Yoo Jeong‑bok’s housing project rather than
Yoon Sang‑hyun again calls for “decisive action” at a PPP Supreme Council meeting, but the party’s agenda centers on expanding Yoo Jeong‑bok’s housing project rather than promoting Yoon, confirming his exclusion from the mayoral ticket
People Power Party’s incumbent mayor Yoo Jeong‑bok launches third‑term bid before 7,000 supporters – The high‑profile launch of the incumbent’s campaign underscored the dominance
People Power Party’s incumbent mayor Yoo Jeong‑bok launches third‑term bid before 7,000 supporters – The high‑profile launch of the incumbent’s campaign underscored the dominance of the People Power Party in Incheon, confirming that the Democratic Party would not field a separate candidate like Yoo Dong‑soo and keeping his
Incheon Mayor Yoo Jeong-bok faces first trial over election law violation scheduled for May 15, but this does not significantly impact his campaign momentum or Yoo Dong-soo’s
Incheon Mayor Yoo Jeong-bok faces first trial over election law violation scheduled for May 15, but this does not significantly impact his campaign momentum or Yoo Dong-soo’s market standing
Rep. Park Chan‑dae announces his Incheon mayoral bid, positioning himself as the “biotech capital” candidate and drawing support from former mayor Park Nam‑chun, intensifying
Kim Kyo‑heung drops to 0%5%
Rep. Park Chan‑dae announces his Incheon mayoral bid, positioning himself as the “biotech capital” candidate and drawing support from former mayor Park Nam‑chun, intensifying competition for the Democratic nomination
Democratic Party Rep. Park Chan‑dae launches his Incheon mayoral bid, promising a “biotech capital” and drawing attention away from Kim Kyo‑heung, who is listed only as a
Kim Kyo‑heung dips to 0%1%
Democratic Party Rep. Park Chan‑dae launches his Incheon mayoral bid, promising a “biotech capital” and drawing attention away from Kim Kyo‑heung, who is listed only as a secondary contender
Yoon Sang‑hyun repeats harsh criticism of the party’s local standing at another Supreme Council session, reinforcing the view that the PPP cannot recover in Incheon and keeping
Yoon Sang‑hyun repeats harsh criticism of the party’s local standing at another Supreme Council session, reinforcing the view that the PPP cannot recover in Incheon and keeping his outcome at zero
Park Chan‑dae declared his Incheon mayoral bid, positioning himself as the Democratic frontrunner and drawing support from party heavyweights, while Kim Kyo‑heung received no new
Park Chan‑dae declared his Incheon mayoral bid, positioning himself as the Democratic frontrunner and drawing support from party heavyweights, while Kim Kyo‑heung received no new endorsements or policy announcements, cementing market consensus that Kim’s odds had collapsed to zero
Follow‑up report on Democratic primary confirms Yoo Dong‑soo’s role as election‑management chair – A second article reiterated that Yoo Dong‑soo was only overseeing the party’s
Follow‑up report on Democratic primary confirms Yoo Dong‑soo’s role as election‑management chair – A second article reiterated that Yoo Dong‑soo was only overseeing the party’s internal process, not running for mayor, reinforcing market consensus that his probability of winning was negligible.
Yoo Dong‑soo, chair of the Incheon chapter’s election‑management committee, announces the results of the second‑round Democratic primaries, underscoring that the party’s mayoral
Yoo Dong‑soo dips to 2%2%
Yoo Dong‑soo, chair of the Incheon chapter’s election‑management committee, announces the results of the second‑round Democratic primaries, underscoring that the party’s mayoral slate is already set
Democratic Party of Korea’s Incheon chapter finalizes primary nominations without Yoo Dong-soo emerging as a leading candidate, further reducing his visibility and market
Yoo Dong-soo dips to 0%1%
Democratic Party of Korea’s Incheon chapter finalizes primary nominations without Yoo Dong-soo emerging as a leading candidate, further reducing his visibility and market confidence
Democratic Party confirms candidate Park Chan-dae as frontrunner for Incheon mayor, overshadowing Lee Hak-jae
Lee Hak-jae dips to 0%1%
The ruling Democratic Party's candidate Park Chan-dae gained strong polling leads and party support, consolidating the market's expectation that Lee Hak-jae, from the opposition, had no realistic chance, pushing his.
Seoul Economic Daily reports “PPP scrambles in capital region as Oh Se‑hoon, Yoo Jeong‑bok pursue independent campaigns,” quoting Yoon Sang‑hyun’s criticism of party candidates
Yoon Sang‑hyun dips to 2%2%
Seoul Economic Daily reports “PPP scrambles in capital region as Oh Se‑hoon, Yoo Jeong‑bok pursue independent campaigns,” quoting Yoon Sang‑hyun’s criticism of party candidates fending for themselves
Report of the same council meeting notes Yoon Sang‑hyun’s criticism of the party’s falling approval rating and warns that “public sentiment in the Seoul metropolitan area is
Yoon Sang‑hyun dips to 0%2%
Report of the same council meeting notes Yoon Sang‑hyun’s criticism of the party’s falling approval rating and warns that “public sentiment in the Seoul metropolitan area is turning against us,” underscoring the PPP’s weakening position in Incheon
Democratic Party confirms four Incheon district candidates, highlighting former aide Ku Jae‑yong (Kim Kyo‑heung’s former aide) as a district‑chief contender, further marginalizing
Democratic Party confirms four Incheon district candidates, highlighting former aide Ku Jae‑yong (Kim Kyo‑heung’s former aide) as a district‑chief contender, further marginalizing Kim’s mayoral prospects
At a PPP Supreme Council meeting in Incheon, Yoon Sang‑hyun urged “decisive action” from party leadership, highlighting that “party candidates are effectively fending for
Yoon Sang‑hyun dips to 2%2%
At a PPP Supreme Council meeting in Incheon, Yoon Sang‑hyun urged “decisive action” from party leadership, highlighting that “party candidates are effectively fending for themselves” and signalling internal disarray
Yoon Sang-hyun criticizes PPP leadership for ineffective support of candidates, reflecting internal party conflicts and further eroding his chances as the party struggles to mount
Yoon Sang-hyun dips to 0%1%
Yoon Sang-hyun criticizes PPP leadership for ineffective support of candidates, reflecting internal party conflicts and further eroding his chances as the party struggles to mount a strong campaign in Incheon
At a People Power Party Supreme Council meeting in Incheon, Yoon Sang‑hyun delivers a blunt critique that “public sentiment in Incheon is dire,” prompting traders to push his
At a People Power Party Supreme Council meeting in Incheon, Yoon Sang‑hyun delivers a blunt critique that “public sentiment in Incheon is dire,” prompting traders to push his outcome to zero as the party’s internal rift deepens
Park announces a comprehensive "emergency 100-day public welfare recovery project" and expansion of local currency "Incheon eum," addressing local economic concerns and appealing
Park Chan-dae rises to 86%2%
Park announces a comprehensive "emergency 100-day public welfare recovery project" and expansion of local currency "Incheon eum," addressing local economic concerns and appealing to voters
Park Chan-dae holds a press conference at Incheon City Hall to formally announce his mayoral bid, emphasizing his lifelong ties to Incheon and pledging development of strategic
Park Chan-dae rises to 84%1%
Park Chan-dae holds a press conference at Incheon City Hall to formally announce his mayoral bid, emphasizing his lifelong ties to Incheon and pledging development of strategic industries, boosting voter confidence
Yoon Sang‑hyun appears on stage at mayor Yoo Jeong‑bok’s autobiography launch, publicly endorsing the incumbent and signaling no independent bid, which depresses market confidence
Yoon Sang‑hyun dips to 0%2%
Yoon Sang‑hyun appears on stage at mayor Yoo Jeong‑bok’s autobiography launch, publicly endorsing the incumbent and signaling no independent bid, which depresses market confidence in his own prospects
Incheon Mayor Yoo Jeong‑bok announces historic third‑term bid, with former lawmaker Bae June‑young appearing on stage to endorse him – The event signaled that Bae was backing the
Bae June‑young dips to 0%1%
Incheon Mayor Yoo Jeong‑bok announces historic third‑term bid, with former lawmaker Bae June‑young appearing on stage to endorse him – The event signaled that Bae was backing the incumbent instead of running, prompting traders to dump her “win” shares.
Incumbent Incheon Mayor Yoo Jeong-bok signals historic third-term bid, gaining strong political endorsements and media attention, consolidating his position as the leading
Yoo Dong-soo dips to 1%2%
Incumbent Incheon Mayor Yoo Jeong-bok signals historic third-term bid, gaining strong political endorsements and media attention, consolidating his position as the leading candidate
Park effectively declares his candidacy for Incheon mayor at a book launch event at Inha University, outlining plans for AI special zones, bio science institutes, and energy
Park Chan-dae jumps to 78%10%
Park effectively declares his candidacy for Incheon mayor at a book launch event at Inha University, outlining plans for AI special zones, bio science institutes, and energy independence, signaling serious campaign intentions
Lee Hak-jae resigns as Incheon Airport CEO to run for mayor amid government conflicts
Lee Hak-jae dips to 1%4%
Lee Hak-jae announced his resignation from the airport corporation to pursue the mayoral race, amid public clashes with President Lee Jae-myung and government audits accusing his management of irregularities, which damaged his political standing and caused a sharp.
Democratic Party surge lifts its mayoral candidates in polls, including Kim Kyo‑heung – A Chosun English report highlighted a nationwide swing toward the DP, briefly raising
Kim Kyo‑heung rises to 4%2%
Democratic Party surge lifts its mayoral candidates in polls, including Kim Kyo‑heung – A Chosun English report highlighted a nationwide swing toward the DP, briefly raising expectations for all its mayoral hopefuls and nudging Kim’s.
News of a Democratic Party surge in Incheon and other key battlegrounds lifts the party’s overall profile but does not translate into support for Kim Kyo‑heung, keeping his odds
News of a Democratic Party surge in Incheon and other key battlegrounds lifts the party’s overall profile but does not translate into support for Kim Kyo‑heung, keeping his odds near the floor
Local opinion polls released by a major Korean survey firm showed Kim Kyo‑heung trailing far behind fellow Democratic hopeful Park Chan‑dae, with Kim polling under 5% in Incheon’s
Kim Kyo‑heung jumps to 10%9%
Local opinion polls released by a major Korean survey firm showed Kim Kyo‑heung trailing far behind fellow Democratic hopeful Park Chan‑dae, with Kim polling under 5% in Incheon’s mayoral race
At the PPP Supreme Council meeting in Incheon, Yoon Sang-hyun urges decisive leadership action amid party struggles, signaling ongoing organizational challenges and diminishing
Yoon Sang-hyun dips to 0%3%
At the PPP Supreme Council meeting in Incheon, Yoon Sang-hyun urges decisive leadership action amid party struggles, signaling ongoing organizational challenges and diminishing voter confidence
Realmeter poll shows Kim Kyo‑heung trailing incumbent Mayor Yoo Jung‑bok in Incheon – A Realmeter survey cited in the same MK article placed Kim well behind the incumbent,
Kim Kyo‑heung rises to 2%1%
Realmeter poll shows Kim Kyo‑heung trailing incumbent Mayor Yoo Jung‑bok in Incheon – A Realmeter survey cited in the same MK article placed Kim well behind the incumbent, reinforcing market doubts and keeping his.
Yoo Jeong-bok pledges to open a third port era and promote Incheon International Freedom City at election office event
Yoo Jeong-bok rises to 19%4%
Yoo announced ambitious development plans to boost Incheon’s global competitiveness, briefly improving market sentiment despite ongoing legal troubles.
Park Chan-dae proposes the "Incheon Institute of Bioscience and Technology Act" as part of his legislative agenda before resigning from the National Assembly to focus on the
Park Chan-dae jumps to 68%6%
Park Chan-dae proposes the "Incheon Institute of Bioscience and Technology Act" as part of his legislative agenda before resigning from the National Assembly to focus on the mayoral race, highlighting Incheon's booming biopharmaceutical sector
Incheon Mayor Yoo Jeong-bok indicted without detention on charges of violating the Public Official Election Act, casting doubt on his third-term bid
Yoo Jeong-bok plunges to 24%25%
The Incheon District Prosecutors’ Office formally indicted Yoo and seven others for illegal campaign activities, including soliciting support while a public official and gathering information on rivals, significantly undermining his electoral chances.
Kim Kyo‑heung officially announces his candidacy for Incheon mayor – The lawmaker’s formal launch was reported by MK, confirming his entry and immediately prompting traders to
Kim Kyo‑heung plunges to 1%46%
Kim Kyo‑heung officially announces his candidacy for Incheon mayor – The lawmaker’s formal launch was reported by MK, confirming his entry and immediately prompting traders to slash his win probability as the field widened .
Kim Kyo‑heung, Democratic Party lawmaker, officially declares his candidacy for Incheon mayor at a Sunhak Gymnasium press conference, pledging “to correct Mayor Yoo Jung‑bok’s
Kim Kyo‑heung plunges to 1%44%
Kim Kyo‑heung, Democratic Party lawmaker, officially declares his candidacy for Incheon mayor at a Sunhak Gymnasium press conference, pledging “to correct Mayor Yoo Jung‑bok’s lost four years”
Park Chan-dae, a 3-term lawmaker and close aide to President Lee Jae-myung, signals strong candidacy for Incheon mayor emphasizing immigrant-friendly policies and leveraging his
Park Chan-dae drops to 41%8%
Park Chan-dae, a 3-term lawmaker and close aide to President Lee Jae-myung, signals strong candidacy for Incheon mayor emphasizing immigrant-friendly policies and leveraging his political connections to the presidential office and National Assembly
Lee Hak-jae appointed president of Incheon International Airport Corporation, signaling his potential candidacy for Incheon mayor
Lee Hak-jae, a former three-term lawmaker of the People Power Party, was appointed in June 2023 as president of Incheon International Airport Corporation and was seen as a strong candidate for the 2026 Incheon mayoral election, initially supporting his market.







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