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icon for Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?

Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?

icon for Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?

Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?

35% шанс
Polymarket

$422,058 Обс.

35% шанс
Polymarket

$422,058 Обс.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ruben Rocha Moya ceases to be the Governor of Sinaloa for any period of time between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Rocha Moya’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ruben Rocha Moya and the governments of Mexico and Sinaloa; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. The US indictment unsealed April 29 charging Governor Rubén Rocha Moya with cartel-related drug trafficking and weapons offenses prompted his May 2 request for a temporary leave of absence, which Sinaloa state lawmakers quickly approved along with the appointment of an interim governor. Mexican federal authorities have declined to detain him or advance extradition proceedings, while Rocha has publicly denied the allegations and stated he will defend himself through domestic institutions. These factors have kept trader consensus on permanent removal by May 31 at a minority position, reflecting the temporary character of the leave, absence of further domestic legal triggers, and historical patterns in which Mexican officials facing foreign indictments often retain or regain office pending prolonged proceedings.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ruben Rocha Moya ceases to be the Governor of Sinaloa for any period of time between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Rocha Moya’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ruben Rocha Moya and the governments of Mexico and Sinaloa; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$422,058
Дата завершення
May 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ruben Rocha Moya ceases to be the Governor of Sinaloa for any period of time between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Rocha Moya’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ruben Rocha Moya and the governments of Mexico and Sinaloa; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Результат запропоновано: Yes

Оскаржено

Пропозиція результату

Фінальне оскарження

Фінальний

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ruben Rocha Moya ceases to be the Governor of Sinaloa for any period of time between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Rocha Moya’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ruben Rocha Moya and the governments of Mexico and Sinaloa; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. The US indictment unsealed April 29 charging Governor Rubén Rocha Moya with cartel-related drug trafficking and weapons offenses prompted his May 2 request for a temporary leave of absence, which Sinaloa state lawmakers quickly approved along with the appointment of an interim governor. Mexican federal authorities have declined to detain him or advance extradition proceedings, while Rocha has publicly denied the allegations and stated he will defend himself through domestic institutions. These factors have kept trader consensus on permanent removal by May 31 at a minority position, reflecting the temporary character of the leave, absence of further domestic legal triggers, and historical patterns in which Mexican officials facing foreign indictments often retain or regain office pending prolonged proceedings.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ruben Rocha Moya ceases to be the Governor of Sinaloa for any period of time between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Rocha Moya’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ruben Rocha Moya and the governments of Mexico and Sinaloa; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$422,058
Дата завершення
May 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ruben Rocha Moya ceases to be the Governor of Sinaloa for any period of time between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Rocha Moya’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ruben Rocha Moya and the governments of Mexico and Sinaloa; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Результат запропоновано: Yes

Оскаржено

Пропозиція результату

Фінальне оскарження

Фінальний

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket, де трейдери купують і продають акції «Так» або «Ні» залежно від того, чи вірять вони, що ця подія станеться. Поточна краудсорсингова ймовірність — 35% для «Yes». Наприклад, якщо «Так» коштує 35¢, ринок колективно оцінює шанс цієї події в 35%. Ці шанси безперервно змінюються, коли трейдери реагують на нові події. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?» згенерував $422.1K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Apr 30, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?», просто оберіть, чи вірите ви, що відповідь — «Так» або «Ні». Кожна сторона має поточну ціну, що відображає ймовірність ринку. Введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ви купили акції «Так» і результат — «Так», кожна акція виплачує $1. Якщо «Ні» — ваші акції «Так» коштують $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточна ймовірність для «Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?» — 35% для «Yes». Це означає, що спільнота Polymarket вважає, що є 35% шанс, що ця подія станеться. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі.

Правила вирішення для «Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.