Diplomatic relations between Israel and most nations have remained stable without new expulsions of Israeli ambassadors since early 2026 incidents, such as South Africa's reciprocal action against a chargé d'affaires. Spain's March withdrawal of its own ambassador to Israel reflected bilateral tensions over regional conflicts but did not involve expelling Israel's envoy. Iran's March offers of incentives for such expulsions produced no follow-through from Arab or European states. With no major new diplomatic ruptures or official announcements in recent weeks, traders assess the risk of any country taking this step before year-end as low. Scheduled summits and ongoing multilateral talks on security issues have further supported continuity in ambassadorial postings.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWill any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?
16% шанс
$42,546 Обс.
$42,546 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
16% шанс
$42,546 Обс.
$42,546 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Israeli ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any expulsion from a country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Diplomatic relations between Israel and most nations have remained stable without new expulsions of Israeli ambassadors since early 2026 incidents, such as South Africa's reciprocal action against a chargé d'affaires. Spain's March withdrawal of its own ambassador to Israel reflected bilateral tensions over regional conflicts but did not involve expelling Israel's envoy. Iran's March offers of incentives for such expulsions produced no follow-through from Arab or European states. With no major new diplomatic ruptures or official announcements in recent weeks, traders assess the risk of any country taking this step before year-end as low. Scheduled summits and ongoing multilateral talks on security issues have further supported continuity in ambassadorial postings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Israeli ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any expulsion from a country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Any expulsion from a country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Mar 31, 2026, 3:41 PM ET
Обсяг
$42,546Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Mar 31, 2026, 3:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Israeli ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any expulsion from a country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Diplomatic relations between Israel and most nations have remained stable without new expulsions of Israeli ambassadors since early 2026 incidents, such as South Africa's reciprocal action against a chargé d'affaires. Spain's March withdrawal of its own ambassador to Israel reflected bilateral tensions over regional conflicts but did not involve expelling Israel's envoy. Iran's March offers of incentives for such expulsions produced no follow-through from Arab or European states. With no major new diplomatic ruptures or official announcements in recent weeks, traders assess the risk of any country taking this step before year-end as low. Scheduled summits and ongoing multilateral talks on security issues have further supported continuity in ambassadorial postings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Israeli ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any expulsion from a country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Any expulsion from a country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$42,546Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Mar 31, 2026, 3:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Diplomatic relations between Israel and most nations have remained stable without new expulsions of Israeli ambassadors since early 2026 incidents, such as South Africa's reciprocal action against a chargé d'affaires. Spain's March withdrawal of its own ambassador to Israel reflected bilateral tensions over regional conflicts but did not involve expelling Israel's envoy. Iran's March offers of incentives for such expulsions produced no follow-through from Arab or European states. With no major new diplomatic ruptures or official announcements in recent weeks, traders assess the risk of any country taking this step before year-end as low. Scheduled summits and ongoing multilateral talks on security issues have further supported continuity in ambassadorial postings.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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