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Will Trump pardon anyone by...?

icon for Will Trump pardon anyone by...?

Will Trump pardon anyone by...?

Jan 1, 2027

Jan 1, 2027

НОВЕ
Sep 30, 2026
Polymarket

$1,384 Обс.

Polymarket

September 30

$483 Обс.

35%

December 31

$901 Обс.

78%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Donald Trump has continued exercising his constitutional clemency authority throughout his second term, issuing more than 1,700 pardons and commutations since January 2025, including a large initial grant covering roughly 1,500 January 6 defendants and subsequent batches for fraud, drug, and firearms offenses. Recent actions include 30 grants announced in early September 2026, with additional individual pardons as late as September 8. These decisions often bypass traditional Department of Justice review in favor of direct White House consideration and input from advocates. Scheduled or anticipated announcements around holidays or policy milestones could influence further grants within specific resolution windows, while congressional scrutiny of restitution impacts and donor influence has not slowed the pace. Trader consensus on near-term markets incorporates this established pattern of regular clemency use.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Обсяг
$1,384
Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027
Ринок відкрито
Sep 14, 2026, 5:53 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Donald Trump has continued exercising his constitutional clemency authority throughout his second term, issuing more than 1,700 pardons and commutations since January 2025, including a large initial grant covering roughly 1,500 January 6 defendants and subsequent batches for fraud, drug, and firearms offenses. Recent actions include 30 grants announced in early September 2026, with additional individual pardons as late as September 8. These decisions often bypass traditional Department of Justice review in favor of direct White House consideration and input from advocates. Scheduled or anticipated announcements around holidays or policy milestones could influence further grants within specific resolution windows, while congressional scrutiny of restitution impacts and donor influence has not slowed the pace. Trader consensus on near-term markets incorporates this established pattern of regular clemency use.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Обсяг
$1,384
Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027
Ринок відкрито
Sep 14, 2026, 5:53 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x65070BE91...

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Will Trump pardon anyone by...?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 2 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «December 31» з 78%, далі «September 30» з 35%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«Will Trump pardon anyone by...?» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Sep 14, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «Will Trump pardon anyone by...?», перегляньте 2 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Will Trump pardon anyone by...?» — «December 31» з 78%. Наступний — «September 30» з 35%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Will Trump pardon anyone by...?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.