Trump remains actively engaged in his second term as of mid-2026, issuing executive orders, participating in international summits such as the G7, and directing foreign policy actions without any verified signals of intent to step down. Republican congressional majorities have consistently blocked impeachment resolutions, consistent with the high threshold for removal under the Constitution. No acute health, legal, or political developments have emerged that would plausibly trigger resignation before the end of 2026, aligning with the structural reality that his term extends to January 2029. Trader consensus at 93.5% for "No" reflects these institutional barriers and the absence of near-term catalysts capable of shifting outcomes within the resolution window.