Turkish authorities achieved their primary objective through May 2026 court rulings that annulled the 2023 CHP congress, ousted Özgür Özel from party leadership, and reinstated Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu, followed by police eviction from headquarters without formal detention. Probes into alleged congress irregularities have resulted in arrests of other CHP figures, yet Özel has faced no new detention orders despite prior investigations into remarks critical of the president. With the June 30 deadline approaching and the leadership transition largely secured via judicial channels, trader consensus reflects the limited incentive for immediate arrest. Late developments such as escalated protests, fresh charges, or parliamentary immunity challenges could still alter the timeline before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоÖzgür Özel arrested by June 30?
Özgür Özel arrested by June 30?
$28,925 Обс.
$28,925 Обс.
Jun 30, 2026
$28,925 Обс.
$28,925 Обс.
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Turkish authorities achieved their primary objective through May 2026 court rulings that annulled the 2023 CHP congress, ousted Özgür Özel from party leadership, and reinstated Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu, followed by police eviction from headquarters without formal detention. Probes into alleged congress irregularities have resulted in arrests of other CHP figures, yet Özel has faced no new detention orders despite prior investigations into remarks critical of the president. With the June 30 deadline approaching and the leadership transition largely secured via judicial channels, trader consensus reflects the limited incentive for immediate arrest. Late developments such as escalated protests, fresh charges, or parliamentary immunity challenges could still alter the timeline before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: May 24, 2026, 9:47 PM ET
Обсяг
$28,925Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 24, 2026, 9:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Turkish authorities achieved their primary objective through May 2026 court rulings that annulled the 2023 CHP congress, ousted Özgür Özel from party leadership, and reinstated Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu, followed by police eviction from headquarters without formal detention. Probes into alleged congress irregularities have resulted in arrests of other CHP figures, yet Özel has faced no new detention orders despite prior investigations into remarks critical of the president. With the June 30 deadline approaching and the leadership transition largely secured via judicial channels, trader consensus reflects the limited incentive for immediate arrest. Late developments such as escalated protests, fresh charges, or parliamentary immunity challenges could still alter the timeline before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$28,925Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 24, 2026, 9:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Turkish authorities achieved their primary objective through May 2026 court rulings that annulled the 2023 CHP congress, ousted Özgür Özel from party leadership, and reinstated Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu, followed by police eviction from headquarters without formal detention. Probes into alleged congress irregularities have resulted in arrests of other CHP figures, yet Özel has faced no new detention orders despite prior investigations into remarks critical of the president. With the June 30 deadline approaching and the leadership transition largely secured via judicial channels, trader consensus reflects the limited incentive for immediate arrest. Late developments such as escalated protests, fresh charges, or parliamentary immunity challenges could still alter the timeline before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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