This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Anthropic’s accelerating revenue trajectory underpins trader expectations for an imminent IPO, with the company’s annualized run rate reaching $65 billion by late July 2026 after Q2 revenue hit $11.5 billion. Recent briefings confirm preparations for a public S-1 filing as soon as the end of August, supported by lead underwriters Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, and JPMorgan, alongside a credit facility exceeding $10 billion. The May Series H round valued the firm at $965 billion post-money amid $65 billion raised, while internal forecasts target $190–200 billion revenue by 2028 to justify a potential $2 trillion valuation—larger than SpaceX’s record $75 billion raise. This positions Anthropic ahead of OpenAI’s 2027 timeline, though sustained losses ($42 billion net in 2025) and compute commitments remain key variables for public-market pricing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Anthropic’s accelerating revenue trajectory underpins trader expectations for an imminent IPO, with the company’s annualized run rate reaching $65 billion by late July 2026 after Q2 revenue hit $11.5 billion. Recent briefings confirm preparations for a public S-1 filing as soon as the end of August, supported by lead underwriters Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, and JPMorgan, alongside a credit facility exceeding $10 billion. The May Series H round valued the firm at $965 billion post-money amid $65 billion raised, while internal forecasts target $190–200 billion revenue by 2028 to justify a potential $2 trillion valuation—larger than SpaceX’s record $75 billion raise. This positions Anthropic ahead of OpenAI’s 2027 timeline, though sustained losses ($42 billion net in 2025) and compute commitments remain key variables for public-market pricing.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Aug 14 2026
Investors expect Anthropic to target $2 trillion IPO in October 2026
October 31, 2026 jumps to 73%5%
Reports emerged that Anthropic aims for a $2 trillion valuation IPO in October 2026, which would be the largest in history, surpassing SpaceX's June 2026 IPO, further fueling market speculation and price movements around the October 31 and December 31 outcomes.
Aug 14 2026
Investors expect Anthropic to target $2 trillion IPO in October 2026
October 15, 2026 surges to 77%33%
Reports emerged that Anthropic is aiming for a historic $2 trillion valuation at its IPO planned for October 2026, which would surpass the SpaceX IPO earlier that year. This news increased market optimism and reflected confidence in Anthropic's growth and valuation trajectory ahead of the public listing.
Aug 13 2026
Investors expect Anthropic to target $2 trillion IPO valuation in October 2026
October 31, 2026 jumps to 82%12%
Reports emerged that Anthropic aims for a $2 trillion IPO valuation in October 2026, which would be the largest in history, surpassing SpaceX's June 2026 debut. This ambitious target reflects strong investor enthusiasm and contributed to increased market optimism for a late 2026 IPO.
Aug 13 2026
Prediction markets price strong likelihood of Anthropic IPO by year-end after SEC filing
December 31, 2026 surges to 87%19%
Following Anthropic's confidential SEC filing and investor activity, prediction markets showed increased probabilities for an IPO by December 31, 2026, reflecting growing market optimism about the company's public debut within the year.
Aug 13 2026
Anthropic in advanced talks to acquire Decart AI for $6 billion ahead of IPO
October 31, 2026 jumps to 74%11%
Anthropic entered advanced negotiations to acquire AI startup Decart for $6 billion, aiming to improve computing efficiency and strengthen its infrastructure before the IPO. This strategic acquisition is expected to enhance Anthropic's gross margins and operational capabilities, supporting its valuation and growth prospects ahead of the October IPO target.
Aug 13 2026
Anthropic's institutional roadshow preparations intensify ahead of IPO
October 31, 2026 surges to 76%28%
Anthropic ramped up its institutional roadshow activities in August, signaling progress towards the planned October 2026 IPO and boosting investor confidence reflected in rising market prices.
Jul 21 2026
Rumors of Anthropic acquiring Physical Intelligence denied by CEO
September 30, 2026 dips to 6%4%
Rumors circulated on social media about Anthropic acquiring robotics startup Physical Intelligence, but CEO Dario Amodei humorously denied the claims. The market reacted to these rumors, reflecting uncertainty about Anthropic's acquisition strategy in robotics ahead of the IPO.
Jul 15 2026
Anthropic plans IPO investor meetings as public debut nears
October 31, 2026 surges to 64%27%
Anthropic announced plans to conduct investor meetings in preparation for its IPO, signaling progress toward a public listing and boosting market confidence in an IPO by year-end, particularly for the October 31 and December 31 outcomes.
Jul 15 2026
Anthropic plans IPO investor meetings as public debut nears
December 31, 2026 jumps to 89%13%
Anthropic announced plans to conduct investor meetings in preparation for its IPO, signaling progress toward a public listing potentially set for fall 2026. This development increased market confidence in the likelihood of an IPO by year-end, reflected in rising market prices for the December 31, 2026 outcome.
Jul 1 2026
Anthropic plans IPO investor meetings as public debut nears
December 31, 2026 jumps to 89%13%
Anthropic announced plans to conduct investor meetings in preparation for its IPO, signaling progress toward a public listing potentially in fall 2026. This development supported increased market confidence in the IPO timeline and helped drive price movements reflecting optimism about the company's public debut.
Jun 15 2026
Market optimism grows for Anthropic IPO with planned investor meetings
October 31, 2026 surges to 56%19%
Anthropic announced plans to conduct investor meetings in preparation for its IPO, signaling progress toward a public listing. This development increased market confidence in a 2026 IPO, particularly for the October and December outcomes, as reflected in rising market prices.
Jun 15 2026
Anthropic plans IPO investor meetings as public debut nears
December 31, 2026 dips to 89%3%
Anthropic announced plans to conduct investor meetings in preparation for its IPO, indicating progress toward a public listing and supporting market optimism for an IPO by year-end 2026.
Anthropic publicly confirmed the confidential submission of its draft S-1 to the SEC, marking a milestone in its IPO preparations. The announcement clarified that timing, share count, and pricing were undecided, but the company was formally entering the IPO process, which boosted market confidence in a 2026 public listing.
Jun 2 2026
Anthropic officially announces confidential S-1 filing with SEC
October 15, 2026 dips to 89%3%
Anthropic publicly confirmed its confidential S-1 filing with the SEC, marking a key milestone in its IPO preparations and increasing market awareness and confidence in the company's public listing plans.
Jun 1 2026
Anthropic confidentially files draft S-1 registration statement with SEC
Anthropic officially submitted a confidential draft S-1 registration statement to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, signaling the start of its IPO process and giving the company the option to go public after SEC review. This filing followed a $65 billion Series H funding round that valued the company at $965 billion, making it the most valuable AI startup and setting the stage for a potential October 2026 IPO.
Jun 1 2026
Anthropic raises $65 billion in Series H funding round at $965 billion valuation
Just days before the IPO filing, Anthropic closed a $65 billion funding round that pushed its valuation to $965 billion, surpassing OpenAI and fueling optimism about its IPO prospects and market leadership in AI.
Jun 1 2026
Anthropic hires Wilson Sonsini for IPO legal counsel
Anthropic retained Wilson Sonsini, a prominent Silicon Valley law firm, to advise on IPO preparations, indicating serious intent to go public and ensuring readiness for regulatory and market scrutiny. This move was a key step in the IPO process and contributed to market anticipation.
Jun 1 2026
Anthropic confidentially files draft S-1 registration with SEC for IPO
October 15, 2026 dips to 89%3%
Anthropic submitted a confidential draft registration statement (Form S-1) to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, initiating the IPO process and signaling serious intent to go public. This filing followed a $65 billion Series H funding round that valued the company at $965 billion, positioning it ahead of OpenAI in valuation and IPO race.
Jun 1 2026
Anthropic confidentially files S-1 registration with SEC for IPO
October 31, 2026 surges to 64%20%
Anthropic submitted a confidential draft registration statement on Form S-1 to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission on June 1, 2026, marking the first formal step toward a public offering. This filing followed a $65 billion Series H funding round that valued the company at $965 billion, positioning it for a potential IPO in late 2026.
Jun 1 2026
Anthropic closes $65 billion Series H funding round at $965 billion valuation
Just days before the S-1 filing, Anthropic raised $65 billion in a Series H funding round, pushing its valuation to $965 billion. This valuation surpassed OpenAI's $852 billion and underpinned market confidence in Anthropic's IPO prospects and potential near-trillion-dollar public valuation.
Jun 1 2026
Anthropic files confidential S-1 with SEC to start IPO process
December 31, 2026 dips to 89%3%
Anthropic officially began its IPO process by filing a confidential S-1 registration statement with the SEC, marking the first AI lab to enter public markets and signaling a strong move towards a 2026 Nasdaq listing.
Jun 1 2026
Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, and Morgan Stanley lead Anthropic IPO underwriting talks
October 31, 2026 surges to 64%20%
Major investment banks Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, and Morgan Stanley entered discussions to lead Anthropic's IPO underwriting, reinforcing market expectations for a high-profile October 2026 Nasdaq listing.
Jun 1 2026
Anthropic files confidential S-1 with SEC, signaling IPO preparations
October 31, 2026 surges to 64%20%
Anthropic filed a confidential S-1 registration statement with the SEC on June 1, 2026, marking the first AI lab to enter the public markets and initiating its IPO process targeting October 2026. This filing increased market confidence in the IPO's likelihood, reflected in price rises for later resolution dates.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Anthropic’s accelerating revenue trajectory underpins trader expectations for an imminent IPO, with the company’s annualized run rate reaching $65 billion by late July 2026 after Q2 revenue hit $11.5 billion. Recent briefings confirm preparations for a public S-1 filing as soon as the end of August, supported by lead underwriters Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, and JPMorgan, alongside a credit facility exceeding $10 billion. The May Series H round valued the firm at $965 billion post-money amid $65 billion raised, while internal forecasts target $190–200 billion revenue by 2028 to justify a potential $2 trillion valuation—larger than SpaceX’s record $75 billion raise. This positions Anthropic ahead of OpenAI’s 2027 timeline, though sustained losses ($42 billion net in 2025) and compute commitments remain key variables for public-market pricing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Anthropic’s accelerating revenue trajectory underpins trader expectations for an imminent IPO, with the company’s annualized run rate reaching $65 billion by late July 2026 after Q2 revenue hit $11.5 billion. Recent briefings confirm preparations for a public S-1 filing as soon as the end of August, supported by lead underwriters Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, and JPMorgan, alongside a credit facility exceeding $10 billion. The May Series H round valued the firm at $965 billion post-money amid $65 billion raised, while internal forecasts target $190–200 billion revenue by 2028 to justify a potential $2 trillion valuation—larger than SpaceX’s record $75 billion raise. This positions Anthropic ahead of OpenAI’s 2027 timeline, though sustained losses ($42 billion net in 2025) and compute commitments remain key variables for public-market pricing.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Aug 14 2026
Investors expect Anthropic to target $2 trillion IPO in October 2026
October 31, 2026 jumps to 73%5%
Reports emerged that Anthropic aims for a $2 trillion valuation IPO in October 2026, which would be the largest in history, surpassing SpaceX's June 2026 IPO, further fueling market speculation and price movements around the October 31 and December 31 outcomes.
Aug 14 2026
Investors expect Anthropic to target $2 trillion IPO in October 2026
October 15, 2026 surges to 77%33%
Reports emerged that Anthropic is aiming for a historic $2 trillion valuation at its IPO planned for October 2026, which would surpass the SpaceX IPO earlier that year. This news increased market optimism and reflected confidence in Anthropic's growth and valuation trajectory ahead of the public listing.
Aug 13 2026
Investors expect Anthropic to target $2 trillion IPO valuation in October 2026
October 31, 2026 jumps to 82%12%
Reports emerged that Anthropic aims for a $2 trillion IPO valuation in October 2026, which would be the largest in history, surpassing SpaceX's June 2026 debut. This ambitious target reflects strong investor enthusiasm and contributed to increased market optimism for a late 2026 IPO.
Aug 13 2026
Prediction markets price strong likelihood of Anthropic IPO by year-end after SEC filing
December 31, 2026 surges to 87%19%
Following Anthropic's confidential SEC filing and investor activity, prediction markets showed increased probabilities for an IPO by December 31, 2026, reflecting growing market optimism about the company's public debut within the year.
Aug 13 2026
Anthropic in advanced talks to acquire Decart AI for $6 billion ahead of IPO
October 31, 2026 jumps to 74%11%
Anthropic entered advanced negotiations to acquire AI startup Decart for $6 billion, aiming to improve computing efficiency and strengthen its infrastructure before the IPO. This strategic acquisition is expected to enhance Anthropic's gross margins and operational capabilities, supporting its valuation and growth prospects ahead of the October IPO target.
Aug 13 2026
Anthropic's institutional roadshow preparations intensify ahead of IPO
October 31, 2026 surges to 76%28%
Anthropic ramped up its institutional roadshow activities in August, signaling progress towards the planned October 2026 IPO and boosting investor confidence reflected in rising market prices.
Jul 21 2026
Rumors of Anthropic acquiring Physical Intelligence denied by CEO
September 30, 2026 dips to 6%4%
Rumors circulated on social media about Anthropic acquiring robotics startup Physical Intelligence, but CEO Dario Amodei humorously denied the claims. The market reacted to these rumors, reflecting uncertainty about Anthropic's acquisition strategy in robotics ahead of the IPO.
Jul 15 2026
Anthropic plans IPO investor meetings as public debut nears
October 31, 2026 surges to 64%27%
Anthropic announced plans to conduct investor meetings in preparation for its IPO, signaling progress toward a public listing and boosting market confidence in an IPO by year-end, particularly for the October 31 and December 31 outcomes.
Jul 15 2026
Anthropic plans IPO investor meetings as public debut nears
December 31, 2026 jumps to 89%13%
Anthropic announced plans to conduct investor meetings in preparation for its IPO, signaling progress toward a public listing potentially set for fall 2026. This development increased market confidence in the likelihood of an IPO by year-end, reflected in rising market prices for the December 31, 2026 outcome.
Jul 1 2026
Anthropic plans IPO investor meetings as public debut nears
December 31, 2026 jumps to 89%13%
Anthropic announced plans to conduct investor meetings in preparation for its IPO, signaling progress toward a public listing potentially in fall 2026. This development supported increased market confidence in the IPO timeline and helped drive price movements reflecting optimism about the company's public debut.
Jun 15 2026
Market optimism grows for Anthropic IPO with planned investor meetings
October 31, 2026 surges to 56%19%
Anthropic announced plans to conduct investor meetings in preparation for its IPO, signaling progress toward a public listing. This development increased market confidence in a 2026 IPO, particularly for the October and December outcomes, as reflected in rising market prices.
Jun 15 2026
Anthropic plans IPO investor meetings as public debut nears
December 31, 2026 dips to 89%3%
Anthropic announced plans to conduct investor meetings in preparation for its IPO, indicating progress toward a public listing and supporting market optimism for an IPO by year-end 2026.
Anthropic publicly confirmed the confidential submission of its draft S-1 to the SEC, marking a milestone in its IPO preparations. The announcement clarified that timing, share count, and pricing were undecided, but the company was formally entering the IPO process, which boosted market confidence in a 2026 public listing.
Jun 2 2026
Anthropic officially announces confidential S-1 filing with SEC
October 15, 2026 dips to 89%3%
Anthropic publicly confirmed its confidential S-1 filing with the SEC, marking a key milestone in its IPO preparations and increasing market awareness and confidence in the company's public listing plans.
Jun 1 2026
Anthropic confidentially files draft S-1 registration statement with SEC
Anthropic officially submitted a confidential draft S-1 registration statement to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, signaling the start of its IPO process and giving the company the option to go public after SEC review. This filing followed a $65 billion Series H funding round that valued the company at $965 billion, making it the most valuable AI startup and setting the stage for a potential October 2026 IPO.
Jun 1 2026
Anthropic raises $65 billion in Series H funding round at $965 billion valuation
Just days before the IPO filing, Anthropic closed a $65 billion funding round that pushed its valuation to $965 billion, surpassing OpenAI and fueling optimism about its IPO prospects and market leadership in AI.
Jun 1 2026
Anthropic hires Wilson Sonsini for IPO legal counsel
Anthropic retained Wilson Sonsini, a prominent Silicon Valley law firm, to advise on IPO preparations, indicating serious intent to go public and ensuring readiness for regulatory and market scrutiny. This move was a key step in the IPO process and contributed to market anticipation.
Jun 1 2026
Anthropic confidentially files draft S-1 registration with SEC for IPO
October 15, 2026 dips to 89%3%
Anthropic submitted a confidential draft registration statement (Form S-1) to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, initiating the IPO process and signaling serious intent to go public. This filing followed a $65 billion Series H funding round that valued the company at $965 billion, positioning it ahead of OpenAI in valuation and IPO race.
Jun 1 2026
Anthropic confidentially files S-1 registration with SEC for IPO
October 31, 2026 surges to 64%20%
Anthropic submitted a confidential draft registration statement on Form S-1 to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission on June 1, 2026, marking the first formal step toward a public offering. This filing followed a $65 billion Series H funding round that valued the company at $965 billion, positioning it for a potential IPO in late 2026.
Jun 1 2026
Anthropic closes $65 billion Series H funding round at $965 billion valuation
Just days before the S-1 filing, Anthropic raised $65 billion in a Series H funding round, pushing its valuation to $965 billion. This valuation surpassed OpenAI's $852 billion and underpinned market confidence in Anthropic's IPO prospects and potential near-trillion-dollar public valuation.
Jun 1 2026
Anthropic files confidential S-1 with SEC to start IPO process
December 31, 2026 dips to 89%3%
Anthropic officially began its IPO process by filing a confidential S-1 registration statement with the SEC, marking the first AI lab to enter public markets and signaling a strong move towards a 2026 Nasdaq listing.
Jun 1 2026
Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, and Morgan Stanley lead Anthropic IPO underwriting talks
October 31, 2026 surges to 64%20%
Major investment banks Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, and Morgan Stanley entered discussions to lead Anthropic's IPO underwriting, reinforcing market expectations for a high-profile October 2026 Nasdaq listing.
Jun 1 2026
Anthropic files confidential S-1 with SEC, signaling IPO preparations
October 31, 2026 surges to 64%20%
Anthropic filed a confidential S-1 registration statement with the SEC on June 1, 2026, marking the first AI lab to enter the public markets and initiating its IPO process targeting October 2026. This filing increased market confidence in the IPO's likelihood, reflected in price rises for later resolution dates.
"Anthropic IPO by __?" là thị trường dự đoán trên Polymarket với 7 kết quả có thể nơi các nhà giao dịch mua và bán cổ phần dựa trên điều họ tin sẽ xảy ra. Kết quả dẫn đầu hiện tại là "December 31, 2026" ở mức 88%, tiếp theo là "October 31, 2026" ở mức 83%. Giá phản ánh xác suất cộng đồng theo thời gian thực. Ví dụ, cổ phần ở giá 88¢ ngụ ý thị trường tập thể cho rằng có 88% khả năng cho kết quả đó. Tỷ lệ này thay đổi liên tục khi trader phản ứng với diễn biến và thông tin mới. Cổ phần đúng kết quả có thể đổi lấy $1 mỗi cổ phần khi thị trường được giải quyết.
Tính đến hôm nay, "Anthropic IPO by __?" đã tạo $1.8 million tổng khối lượng giao dịch kể từ khi thị trường mở vào Jun 1, 2026. Mức hoạt động giao dịch này phản ánh sự tham gia mạnh mẽ từ cộng đồng Polymarket và giúp đảm bảo tỷ lệ hiện tại được thông tin bởi nhóm người tham gia thị trường sâu rộng. Bạn có thể theo dõi biến động giá trực tiếp và giao dịch trên bất kỳ kết quả nào ngay trên trang này.
Để giao dịch trên "Anthropic IPO by __?," duyệt 7 kết quả có sẵn trên trang này. Mỗi kết quả hiển thị giá hiện tại đại diện cho xác suất ngụ ý của thị trường. Để mở vị thế, chọn kết quả bạn tin là có khả năng nhất, chọn "Có" để giao dịch ủng hộ hoặc "Không" để giao dịch chống, nhập số tiền và nhấn "Giao dịch." Nếu kết quả bạn chọn đúng khi thị trường giải quyết, cổ phần "Có" của bạn trả $1 mỗi cổ phần. Nếu sai, chúng trả $0. Bạn cũng có thể bán cổ phần bất cứ lúc nào trước khi giải quyết nếu muốn chốt lời hoặc cắt lỗ.
Ứng viên dẫn đầu hiện tại cho "Anthropic IPO by __?" là "December 31, 2026" ở mức 88%, nghĩa là thị trường cho 88% khả năng cho kết quả đó. Kết quả gần nhất tiếp theo là "October 31, 2026" ở mức 83%. Tỷ lệ cập nhật theo thời gian thực khi trader mua và bán cổ phần, phản ánh cái nhìn tập thể mới nhất về điều có khả năng xảy ra nhất. Kiểm tra thường xuyên hoặc đánh dấu trang này để theo dõi tỷ lệ thay đổi khi thông tin mới xuất hiện.
Quy tắc giải quyết cho "Anthropic IPO by __?" định nghĩa chính xác điều gì cần xảy ra để mỗi kết quả được tuyên bố thắng — bao gồm nguồn dữ liệu chính thức được sử dụng để xác định kết quả. Bạn có thể xem tiêu chí giải quyết đầy đủ trong phần "Quy tắc" trên trang này phía trên bình luận. Chúng tôi khuyên đọc kỹ quy tắc trước khi giao dịch, vì chúng chỉ rõ điều kiện, trường hợp ngoại lệ và nguồn chính xác quản lý cách thị trường được thanh toán.
Có. Bạn không cần giao dịch để cập nhật thông tin. Trang này đóng vai trò theo dõi trực tiếp cho "Anthropic IPO by __?." Xác suất kết quả cập nhật theo thời gian thực khi có giao dịch mới. Bạn có thể đánh dấu trang này và kiểm tra phần bình luận để xem trader khác đang nói gì. Bạn cũng có thể sử dụng bộ lọc khoảng thời gian trên biểu đồ để xem tỷ lệ đã thay đổi thế nào. Đây là cửa sổ miễn phí, thời gian thực vào điều thị trường kỳ vọng sẽ xảy ra.
Tỷ lệ Polymarket được đặt bởi trader thực đặt tiền thực đằng sau niềm tin, có xu hướng đưa ra dự đoán chính xác. Với $1.8 million được giao dịch trên "Anthropic IPO by __?," giá này tổng hợp kiến thức và niềm tin tập thể của hàng nghìn người tham gia — thường vượt trội hơn thăm dò, dự báo chuyên gia và khảo sát truyền thống. Thị trường dự đoán như Polymarket có thành tích chính xác mạnh, đặc biệt khi sự kiện tiến gần ngày giải quyết. Ví dụ, Polymarket có điểm chính xác một tháng là 94%. Để biết thống kê mới nhất về độ chính xác dự đoán của Polymarket, truy cập trang độ chính xác trên Polymarket.
Để đặt lệnh đầu tiên trên "Anthropic IPO by __?," đăng ký tài khoản Polymarket miễn phí và nạp tiền bằng crypto, thẻ tín dụng hoặc ghi nợ, hoặc chuyển khoản ngân hàng. Khi tài khoản đã được nạp, quay lại trang này, chọn kết quả bạn muốn giao dịch, nhập số tiền và nhấn "Giao dịch." Nếu bạn mới với thị trường dự đoán, nhấn liên kết "Cách hoạt động" ở đầu bất kỳ trang Polymarket nào để xem hướng dẫn từng bước nhanh về cách giao dịch.
Trên Polymarket, giá của mỗi kết quả đại diện cho xác suất ngụ ý của thị trường. Giá 88¢ cho "December 31, 2026" trong thị trường "Anthropic IPO by __?" nghĩa là trader tập thể tin rằng có khoảng 88% khả năng "December 31, 2026" sẽ là kết quả đúng. Nếu bạn mua cổ phần "Có" ở 88¢ và kết quả đúng, bạn nhận $1.00 mỗi cổ phần — lợi nhuận 12¢ mỗi cổ phần. Nếu sai, cổ phần đó giá trị $0.
Thị trường "Anthropic IPO by __?" dự kiến giải quyết vào hoặc khoảng Jun 30, 2027. Điều này có nghĩa giao dịch vẫn mở và tỷ lệ tiếp tục thay đổi khi thông tin mới xuất hiện cho đến ngày đó. Thời gian giải quyết chính xác phụ thuộc vào khi kết quả chính thức có sẵn, như được nêu trong phần "Quy tắc" trên trang này.
Thị trường "Anthropic IPO by __?" có cộng đồng sôi động với 27 bình luận nơi trader chia sẻ phân tích, tranh luận kết quả và thảo luận diễn biến mới nhất. Cuộn xuống phần bình luận bên dưới để đọc ý kiến từ người tham gia khác. Bạn cũng có thể lọc theo "Người nắm giữ hàng đầu" để xem trader lớn nhất đang nắm giữ vị thế ở đâu, hoặc kiểm tra tab "Hoạt động" cho dữ liệu giao dịch theo thời gian thực.
Polymarket là thị trường dự đoán lớn nhất thế giới, nơi bạn có thể cập nhật thông tin và kiếm lợi nhuận từ kiến thức về sự kiện thực tế. Trader mua và bán cổ phần trên kết quả cho các chủ đề từ chính trị và bầu cử đến crypto, tài chính, thể thao, công nghệ và văn hoá, bao gồm các thị trường như "Anthropic IPO by __?." Giá phản ánh xác suất cộng đồng theo thời gian thực được hỗ trợ bởi niềm tin tài chính, thường cung cấp tín hiệu nhanh và chính xác hơn thăm dò, bình luận viên hoặc khảo sát truyền thống.
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