**Strong trader consensus around a 1.8T+ closing market cap (78.5% implied probability) reflects Anthropic’s rapid revenue trajectory and IPO momentum heading into an expected October 2026 Nasdaq listing.** The company filed its confidential S-1 in June after a May Series H round valued it at $965 billion; annualized run-rate revenue reached $65 billion by end-July, up sharply from roughly $9 billion at year-end 2025, fueled by Claude adoption, API usage, and major cloud partnerships with Amazon Web Services and Google Cloud. Secondary-market marks and crypto perpetuals now price the pre-IPO valuation near or above $2 trillion, aligning with banker targets of $2 trillion-plus and positioning the debut as potentially the largest IPO on record. Profitability on an adjusted basis for a second straight quarter and ongoing compute deals further support the elevated valuation multiples. Key near-term catalysts include the public S-1 release and roadshow execution, though execution risk and market conditions remain variables.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật1.8T+ 79%
1.5–1.8T 9.6%
1.2–1.5T 5.0%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 3.6%
$442,012 KL.
$442,012 KL.
<0.6T
1%
0.6–0.9T
<1%
0.9–1.2T
<1%
1.2–1.5T
5%
1.5–1.8T
10%
1.8T+
79%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
4%
1.8T+ 79%
1.5–1.8T 9.6%
1.2–1.5T 5.0%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 3.6%
$442,012 KL.
$442,012 KL.
<0.6T
1%
0.6–0.9T
<1%
0.9–1.2T
<1%
1.2–1.5T
5%
1.5–1.8T
10%
1.8T+
79%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
4%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Thị trường mở: Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ET
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Strong trader consensus around a 1.8T+ closing market cap (78.5% implied probability) reflects Anthropic’s rapid revenue trajectory and IPO momentum heading into an expected October 2026 Nasdaq listing.** The company filed its confidential S-1 in June after a May Series H round valued it at $965 billion; annualized run-rate revenue reached $65 billion by end-July, up sharply from roughly $9 billion at year-end 2025, fueled by Claude adoption, API usage, and major cloud partnerships with Amazon Web Services and Google Cloud. Secondary-market marks and crypto perpetuals now price the pre-IPO valuation near or above $2 trillion, aligning with banker targets of $2 trillion-plus and positioning the debut as potentially the largest IPO on record. Profitability on an adjusted basis for a second straight quarter and ongoing compute deals further support the elevated valuation multiples. Key near-term catalysts include the public S-1 release and roadshow execution, though execution risk and market conditions remain variables.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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