The strong Republican tilt of Arkansas’s 1st congressional district, with a Partisan Voting Index of R+23 and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Incumbent Rick Crawford, first elected in 2010 and renominated without primary opposition, faces Democrat Terri Yarbrough Green and Libertarian Steve Parsons in the November 3, 2026 general election. The seat is rated Solid Republican by nonpartisan analysts, reflecting limited Democratic infrastructure and fundraising in the rural, northeastern Arkansas district. While national midterm dynamics or candidate-specific developments could theoretically narrow the gap, the current pricing reflects the structural and historical barriers to a Democratic victory in this environment.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtAR-01 House Election Winner
AR-01 House Election Winner
$25,906 KL.
$25,906 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
98%
Democratic Party
2%
$25,906 KL.
$25,906 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$15,992 KL.
98%
Democratic Party
$9,914 KL.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Republican tilt of Arkansas’s 1st congressional district, with a Partisan Voting Index of R+23 and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Incumbent Rick Crawford, first elected in 2010 and renominated without primary opposition, faces Democrat Terri Yarbrough Green and Libertarian Steve Parsons in the November 3, 2026 general election. The seat is rated Solid Republican by nonpartisan analysts, reflecting limited Democratic infrastructure and fundraising in the rural, northeastern Arkansas district. While national midterm dynamics or candidate-specific developments could theoretically narrow the gap, the current pricing reflects the structural and historical barriers to a Democratic victory in this environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Khối lượng
$25,906Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Republican tilt of Arkansas’s 1st congressional district, with a Partisan Voting Index of R+23 and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Incumbent Rick Crawford, first elected in 2010 and renominated without primary opposition, faces Democrat Terri Yarbrough Green and Libertarian Steve Parsons in the November 3, 2026 general election. The seat is rated Solid Republican by nonpartisan analysts, reflecting limited Democratic infrastructure and fundraising in the rural, northeastern Arkansas district. While national midterm dynamics or candidate-specific developments could theoretically narrow the gap, the current pricing reflects the structural and historical barriers to a Democratic victory in this environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$25,906Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The strong Republican tilt of Arkansas’s 1st congressional district, with a Partisan Voting Index of R+23 and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Incumbent Rick Crawford, first elected in 2010 and renominated without primary opposition, faces Democrat Terri Yarbrough Green and Libertarian Steve Parsons in the November 3, 2026 general election. The seat is rated Solid Republican by nonpartisan analysts, reflecting limited Democratic infrastructure and fundraising in the rural, northeastern Arkansas district. While national midterm dynamics or candidate-specific developments could theoretically narrow the gap, the current pricing reflects the structural and historical barriers to a Democratic victory in this environment.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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