Argentina's monthly inflation for August 2026 is expected to moderate following July's 2.1% MoM print, which exceeded analyst expectations and marked a sequential increase from June's 1.9%. Traders are pricing the 1.8-2.0% range as the leading outcome amid ongoing disinflation, supported by fiscal balance, prudent monetary policy, and subdued exchange-rate pass-through despite winter seasonal pressures. Central bank surveys point to a 29-30% year-end 2026 rate, consistent with a projected 1.6% monthly average in the remaining months. The September 10 release will resolve the market, with implied probabilities reflecting skin-in-the-game consensus on continued cooling absent major policy shifts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtArgentina Monthly Inflation - August
1.8-2.0% 49.6%
1.5-1.7% 28.0%
2.1-2.3% 22.5%
≤1.1% <1%
≤1.1%
1%
1.2-1.4%
1%
1.5-1.7%
28%
1.8-2.0%
50%
2.1-2.3%
13%
2.4-2.6%
1%
2.7-2.9%
1%
3.0%+
1%
1.8-2.0% 49.6%
1.5-1.7% 28.0%
2.1-2.3% 22.5%
≤1.1% <1%
≤1.1%
1%
1.2-1.4%
1%
1.5-1.7%
28%
1.8-2.0%
50%
2.1-2.3%
13%
2.4-2.6%
1%
2.7-2.9%
1%
3.0%+
1%
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in August 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Thị trường mở: Aug 14, 2026, 2:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in August 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Argentina's monthly inflation for August 2026 is expected to moderate following July's 2.1% MoM print, which exceeded analyst expectations and marked a sequential increase from June's 1.9%. Traders are pricing the 1.8-2.0% range as the leading outcome amid ongoing disinflation, supported by fiscal balance, prudent monetary policy, and subdued exchange-rate pass-through despite winter seasonal pressures. Central bank surveys point to a 29-30% year-end 2026 rate, consistent with a projected 1.6% monthly average in the remaining months. The September 10 release will resolve the market, with implied probabilities reflecting skin-in-the-game consensus on continued cooling absent major policy shifts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật



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