Incumbent Rep. David Valadao (R) dominates CA-22 top-two primary odds at 99%, reflecting his 44% lead in the latest Data for Progress poll (May 1-6) among likely voters, as ballots began mailing this week ahead of the June 2 contest. Trader consensus favors moderate Democrat Jasmeet Bains (94%) over progressive Randy Villegas (79%) for the second advancement spot—despite the poll's 21-25% Villegas edge—betting on Bains' DCCC support, recent Latino validator push, and Democratic consolidation in this Central Valley battleground reshaped by redistricting. Undecideds (10%) and intensified canvassing underscore Latino turnout and split liberal activists as key risks.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCA-22 Primary Winners
CA-22 Primary Winners
MỚI
Jun 2, 2026
David Valadao
98%
Chris Mathys
11%
Rudy Salas
5%
Randy Villegas
50%
Jasmeet Bains
59%
$1,847 KL.
David Valadao
$417 KL.
98%
Chris Mathys
$544 KL.
11%
Rudy Salas
$335 KL.
5%
Randy Villegas
$473 KL.
50%
Jasmeet Bains
$78 KL.
59%
This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 22nd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. David Valadao (R) dominates CA-22 top-two primary odds at 99%, reflecting his 44% lead in the latest Data for Progress poll (May 1-6) among likely voters, as ballots began mailing this week ahead of the June 2 contest. Trader consensus favors moderate Democrat Jasmeet Bains (94%) over progressive Randy Villegas (79%) for the second advancement spot—despite the poll's 21-25% Villegas edge—betting on Bains' DCCC support, recent Latino validator push, and Democratic consolidation in this Central Valley battleground reshaped by redistricting. Undecideds (10%) and intensified canvassing underscore Latino turnout and split liberal activists as key risks.
This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 22nd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Thị trường mở: Dec 11, 2025, 11:54 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,847Ngày kết thúc
Jun 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 11, 2025, 11:54 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 22nd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. David Valadao (R) dominates CA-22 top-two primary odds at 99%, reflecting his 44% lead in the latest Data for Progress poll (May 1-6) among likely voters, as ballots began mailing this week ahead of the June 2 contest. Trader consensus favors moderate Democrat Jasmeet Bains (94%) over progressive Randy Villegas (79%) for the second advancement spot—despite the poll's 21-25% Villegas edge—betting on Bains' DCCC support, recent Latino validator push, and Democratic consolidation in this Central Valley battleground reshaped by redistricting. Undecideds (10%) and intensified canvassing underscore Latino turnout and split liberal activists as key risks.
This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 22nd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Khối lượng
$1,847Ngày kết thúc
Jun 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 11, 2025, 11:54 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Incumbent Rep. David Valadao (R) dominates CA-22 top-two primary odds at 99%, reflecting his 44% lead in the latest Data for Progress poll (May 1-6) among likely voters, as ballots began mailing this week ahead of the June 2 contest. Trader consensus favors moderate Democrat Jasmeet Bains (94%) over progressive Randy Villegas (79%) for the second advancement spot—despite the poll's 21-25% Villegas edge—betting on Bains' DCCC support, recent Latino validator push, and Democratic consolidation in this Central Valley battleground reshaped by redistricting. Undecideds (10%) and intensified canvassing underscore Latino turnout and split liberal activists as key risks.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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