Incumbent Democratic Rep. Linda Sánchez advanced from the June 2026 primary alongside Republican Mitch Clemmons in California's 41st congressional district, a seat redrawn under Proposition 50 with a strong Democratic partisan lean exceeding D+9. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats reflects the district's southeast Los Angeles County composition, Sánchez's established incumbency and fundraising edge, and limited Republican infrastructure in a solidly blue area. The November general election remains months away, leaving room for potential shifts from national economic conditions, turnout patterns among key voting blocs, or unforeseen developments such as candidate withdrawals or major scandals that could alter the implied probability.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCA-41 House Election Winner
CA-41 House Election Winner
$13,777 KL.
$13,777 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
$13,777 KL.
$13,777 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$7,188 KL.
94%
Republican Party
$6,589 KL.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-41 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Rep. Linda Sánchez advanced from the June 2026 primary alongside Republican Mitch Clemmons in California's 41st congressional district, a seat redrawn under Proposition 50 with a strong Democratic partisan lean exceeding D+9. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats reflects the district's southeast Los Angeles County composition, Sánchez's established incumbency and fundraising edge, and limited Republican infrastructure in a solidly blue area. The November general election remains months away, leaving room for potential shifts from national economic conditions, turnout patterns among key voting blocs, or unforeseen developments such as candidate withdrawals or major scandals that could alter the implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-41 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$13,777Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-41 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Rep. Linda Sánchez advanced from the June 2026 primary alongside Republican Mitch Clemmons in California's 41st congressional district, a seat redrawn under Proposition 50 with a strong Democratic partisan lean exceeding D+9. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats reflects the district's southeast Los Angeles County composition, Sánchez's established incumbency and fundraising edge, and limited Republican infrastructure in a solidly blue area. The November general election remains months away, leaving room for potential shifts from national economic conditions, turnout patterns among key voting blocs, or unforeseen developments such as candidate withdrawals or major scandals that could alter the implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-41 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$13,777Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Rep. Linda Sánchez advanced from the June 2026 primary alongside Republican Mitch Clemmons in California's 41st congressional district, a seat redrawn under Proposition 50 with a strong Democratic partisan lean exceeding D+9. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats reflects the district's southeast Los Angeles County composition, Sánchez's established incumbency and fundraising edge, and limited Republican infrastructure in a solidly blue area. The November general election remains months away, leaving room for potential shifts from national economic conditions, turnout patterns among key voting blocs, or unforeseen developments such as candidate withdrawals or major scandals that could alter the implied probability.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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