Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic nominee at 91.8% implied probability to win Colorado's open gubernatorial race on November 3, driven by the state's Democratic trifecta since 2019, consistent presidential wins since 2008, and no Republican statewide victory since 2016. Incumbent Gov. Jared Polis is term-limited, pitting high-profile Democrats Michael Bennet and Phil Weiser—who recently debated on May 7 and lead evenly in insider assessments like Colorado Pols' Big Line—against a fragmented Republican primary field of Barbara Kirkmeyer, Victor Marx, and Scott Bottoms amid recent GOP state assembly disarray. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic, with June 30 primaries as the next catalyst; a Republican upset would require national midterm tailwinds, Democratic scandals, or unified moderate turnout in battleground suburbs.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtColorado Governor Election Winner
Colorado Governor Election Winner
$11,337 KL.
$11,337 KL.

Democrat
92%

Republican
9%
$11,337 KL.
$11,337 KL.

Democrat
92%

Republican
9%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic nominee at 91.8% implied probability to win Colorado's open gubernatorial race on November 3, driven by the state's Democratic trifecta since 2019, consistent presidential wins since 2008, and no Republican statewide victory since 2016. Incumbent Gov. Jared Polis is term-limited, pitting high-profile Democrats Michael Bennet and Phil Weiser—who recently debated on May 7 and lead evenly in insider assessments like Colorado Pols' Big Line—against a fragmented Republican primary field of Barbara Kirkmeyer, Victor Marx, and Scott Bottoms amid recent GOP state assembly disarray. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic, with June 30 primaries as the next catalyst; a Republican upset would require national midterm tailwinds, Democratic scandals, or unified moderate turnout in battleground suburbs.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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