Incumbent Democratic Governor Ned Lamont holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Connecticut gubernatorial race, reflected in trader consensus assigning a 92.5% probability of a Democratic victory. Lamont's sustained high approval ratings near 60% and his 12-point margin in the 2022 general election underscore his strength in a state with a pronounced Democratic lean. His primary challenger, state Representative Josh Elliott, trails significantly in recent University of New Hampshire polling at 52% to 18%. On the Republican side, state Senator Ryan Fazio secured the nomination at the May 16 convention following the withdrawal of other contenders. A Democratic primary upset, major scandal involving Lamont, or an unusually strong national Republican wave remain the primary scenarios that could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtConnecticut Governor Election Winner
Connecticut Governor Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
93%
Republican
7%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$1,772 KL.
93%
Republican
$2,490 KL.
7%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Connecticut gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Ned Lamont holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Connecticut gubernatorial race, reflected in trader consensus assigning a 92.5% probability of a Democratic victory. Lamont's sustained high approval ratings near 60% and his 12-point margin in the 2022 general election underscore his strength in a state with a pronounced Democratic lean. His primary challenger, state Representative Josh Elliott, trails significantly in recent University of New Hampshire polling at 52% to 18%. On the Republican side, state Senator Ryan Fazio secured the nomination at the May 16 convention following the withdrawal of other contenders. A Democratic primary upset, major scandal involving Lamont, or an unusually strong national Republican wave remain the primary scenarios that could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Connecticut gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Khối lượng
$4,263Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Connecticut gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Ned Lamont holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Connecticut gubernatorial race, reflected in trader consensus assigning a 92.5% probability of a Democratic victory. Lamont's sustained high approval ratings near 60% and his 12-point margin in the 2022 general election underscore his strength in a state with a pronounced Democratic lean. His primary challenger, state Representative Josh Elliott, trails significantly in recent University of New Hampshire polling at 52% to 18%. On the Republican side, state Senator Ryan Fazio secured the nomination at the May 16 convention following the withdrawal of other contenders. A Democratic primary upset, major scandal involving Lamont, or an unusually strong national Republican wave remain the primary scenarios that could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Connecticut gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$4,263Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Governor Ned Lamont holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Connecticut gubernatorial race, reflected in trader consensus assigning a 92.5% probability of a Democratic victory. Lamont's sustained high approval ratings near 60% and his 12-point margin in the 2022 general election underscore his strength in a state with a pronounced Democratic lean. His primary challenger, state Representative Josh Elliott, trails significantly in recent University of New Hampshire polling at 52% to 18%. On the Republican side, state Senator Ryan Fazio secured the nomination at the May 16 convention following the withdrawal of other contenders. A Democratic primary upset, major scandal involving Lamont, or an unusually strong national Republican wave remain the primary scenarios that could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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