House passage of H.R. 8322 on April 17 extended FISA Section 702 authorities through April 30, averting the April 20 sunset and driving trader consensus to near-certainty on reauthorization before expiration. Bipartisan procedural votes, including 235-191 approval of longer-term measures days later, overcame privacy advocates' demands for warrant requirements amid warnings from House Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence Chairman Rick Crawford about national security risks like terrorism threats. Subsequent 45-day extensions to mid-June reflect ongoing negotiations for multi-year renewal, with historical patterns of last-minute congressional action reinforcing high implied probabilities. Realistic disruptions—presidential veto, filibuster, or FISA Court invalidation—remain improbable given precedent and momentum.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtFISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?
FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?
$40,911 KL.
$40,911 KL.
Apr 30, 2026
$40,911 KL.
$40,911 KL.
Apr 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.House passage of H.R. 8322 on April 17 extended FISA Section 702 authorities through April 30, averting the April 20 sunset and driving trader consensus to near-certainty on reauthorization before expiration. Bipartisan procedural votes, including 235-191 approval of longer-term measures days later, overcame privacy advocates' demands for warrant requirements amid warnings from House Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence Chairman Rick Crawford about national security risks like terrorism threats. Subsequent 45-day extensions to mid-June reflect ongoing negotiations for multi-year renewal, with historical patterns of last-minute congressional action reinforcing high implied probabilities. Realistic disruptions—presidential veto, filibuster, or FISA Court invalidation—remain improbable given precedent and momentum.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Apr 20, 2026, 3:37 PM ET
Khối lượng
$40,911Ngày kết thúc
Apr 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 20, 2026, 3:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.House passage of H.R. 8322 on April 17 extended FISA Section 702 authorities through April 30, averting the April 20 sunset and driving trader consensus to near-certainty on reauthorization before expiration. Bipartisan procedural votes, including 235-191 approval of longer-term measures days later, overcame privacy advocates' demands for warrant requirements amid warnings from House Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence Chairman Rick Crawford about national security risks like terrorism threats. Subsequent 45-day extensions to mid-June reflect ongoing negotiations for multi-year renewal, with historical patterns of last-minute congressional action reinforcing high implied probabilities. Realistic disruptions—presidential veto, filibuster, or FISA Court invalidation—remain improbable given precedent and momentum.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$40,911Ngày kết thúc
Apr 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 20, 2026, 3:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...House passage of H.R. 8322 on April 17 extended FISA Section 702 authorities through April 30, averting the April 20 sunset and driving trader consensus to near-certainty on reauthorization before expiration. Bipartisan procedural votes, including 235-191 approval of longer-term measures days later, overcame privacy advocates' demands for warrant requirements amid warnings from House Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence Chairman Rick Crawford about national security risks like terrorism threats. Subsequent 45-day extensions to mid-June reflect ongoing negotiations for multi-year renewal, with historical patterns of last-minute congressional action reinforcing high implied probabilities. Realistic disruptions—presidential veto, filibuster, or FISA Court invalidation—remain improbable given precedent and momentum.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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