Latest weather model consensus from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF points to a maximum temperature of 25°C in Ankara on September 15, driving the market's strong 64% implied probability for that outcome. Seasonal norms for mid-September in the region typically feature daytime highs near 26°C under transitional autumn patterns, with current high-pressure dominance and limited moisture advection supporting stable conditions. Minor model spreads introduce the secondary probabilities for 24°C and 26°C, while cooler or warmer outliers remain low due to consistent guidance on wind patterns and insolation. Updated forecasts ahead of the 24-hour window could refine these trader assessments.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Ankara on September 15?
Highest temperature in Ankara on September 15?
25°C 65%
26°C 18%
24°C 17%
23°C 3%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 15, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
17%
25°C
65%
26°C
18%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
1%
25°C 65%
26°C 18%
24°C 17%
23°C 3%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 15, 2026
19°C or below
$407 KL.
<1%
20°C
$410 KL.
<1%
21°C
$427 KL.
1%
22°C
$218 KL.
1%
23°C
$384 KL.
3%
24°C
$839 KL.
17%
25°C
$1,819 KL.
65%
26°C
$747 KL.
18%
27°C
$461 KL.
2%
28°C
$329 KL.
1%
29°C or higher
$261 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest weather model consensus from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF points to a maximum temperature of 25°C in Ankara on September 15, driving the market's strong 64% implied probability for that outcome. Seasonal norms for mid-September in the region typically feature daytime highs near 26°C under transitional autumn patterns, with current high-pressure dominance and limited moisture advection supporting stable conditions. Minor model spreads introduce the secondary probabilities for 24°C and 26°C, while cooler or warmer outliers remain low due to consistent guidance on wind patterns and insolation. Updated forecasts ahead of the 24-hour window could refine these trader assessments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ET
Khối lượng
$6,199Ngày kết thúc
Sep 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest weather model consensus from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF points to a maximum temperature of 25°C in Ankara on September 15, driving the market's strong 64% implied probability for that outcome. Seasonal norms for mid-September in the region typically feature daytime highs near 26°C under transitional autumn patterns, with current high-pressure dominance and limited moisture advection supporting stable conditions. Minor model spreads introduce the secondary probabilities for 24°C and 26°C, while cooler or warmer outliers remain low due to consistent guidance on wind patterns and insolation. Updated forecasts ahead of the 24-hour window could refine these trader assessments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$6,199Ngày kết thúc
Sep 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Latest weather model consensus from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF points to a maximum temperature of 25°C in Ankara on September 15, driving the market's strong 64% implied probability for that outcome. Seasonal norms for mid-September in the region typically feature daytime highs near 26°C under transitional autumn patterns, with current high-pressure dominance and limited moisture advection supporting stable conditions. Minor model spreads introduce the secondary probabilities for 24°C and 26°C, while cooler or warmer outliers remain low due to consistent guidance on wind patterns and insolation. Updated forecasts ahead of the 24-hour window could refine these trader assessments.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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