Official National Weather Service guidance centers a high near 102°F for Austin on August 27, with partly cloudy skies, light southwest-to-northerly winds, and a 40% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms that could cap temperatures if convection initiates early. Recent days of 103–107°F highs under a strong subtropical ridge have kept surface heating elevated, but increasing mid-level moisture and weak upper-level support introduce timing uncertainty in peak readings. This scientific ambiguity—centered on cloud cover, dew points near 65–70°F, and heat indices to 109°F—explains the tight market split between 100–101°F and 102–103°F bins, with traders weighting official model consensus against local variability in storm development.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Austin on August 27?
100-101°F 40%
102-103°F 33%
98-99°F 15%
104-105°F 9%
95°F or below
1%
96-97°F
4%
98-99°F
15%
100-101°F
40%
102-103°F
33%
104-105°F
9%
106-107°F
2%
108-109°F
1%
110-111°F
<1%
112-113°F
<1%
114°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 40%
102-103°F 33%
98-99°F 15%
104-105°F 9%
95°F or below
1%
96-97°F
4%
98-99°F
15%
100-101°F
40%
102-103°F
33%
104-105°F
9%
106-107°F
2%
108-109°F
1%
110-111°F
<1%
112-113°F
<1%
114°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 25, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service guidance centers a high near 102°F for Austin on August 27, with partly cloudy skies, light southwest-to-northerly winds, and a 40% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms that could cap temperatures if convection initiates early. Recent days of 103–107°F highs under a strong subtropical ridge have kept surface heating elevated, but increasing mid-level moisture and weak upper-level support introduce timing uncertainty in peak readings. This scientific ambiguity—centered on cloud cover, dew points near 65–70°F, and heat indices to 109°F—explains the tight market split between 100–101°F and 102–103°F bins, with traders weighting official model consensus against local variability in storm development.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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