**Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Los Angeles indicate elevated overnight lows in the low to mid-70s on August 28 amid an ongoing extreme heat wave, with highs projected near 90–102°F and only limited marine-layer cooling expected.** This positions the market's leading 67°F-or-below outcome (48% implied probability) as reflecting trader assessment of possible earlier or stronger onshore flow, model divergence on boundary-layer mixing, or microclimate differences between downtown and coastal stations like LAX. Historical August minima average around 65°F, but the current ridge-driven warmth has kept recent lows 5–10°F above normal, creating uncertainty around whether the heat will ease enough overnight to reach the lower buckets or remain anchored in the 72–75°F range favored by secondary outcomes. Updated model runs and evening briefings from NWS Los Angeles/Oxnard will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Los Angeles on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on August 28?
78-79°F 48%
86°F or higher 47%
67°F or below 45%
82-83°F 29%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 28, 2026
67°F or below
45%
68-69°F
25%
70-71°F
25%
72-73°F
27%
74-75°F
27%
76-77°F
25%
78-79°F
48%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
29%
84-85°F
23%
86°F or higher
47%
78-79°F 48%
86°F or higher 47%
67°F or below 45%
82-83°F 29%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 28, 2026
67°F or below
$0 KL.
45%
68-69°F
$0 KL.
25%
70-71°F
$0 KL.
25%
72-73°F
$0 KL.
27%
74-75°F
$0 KL.
27%
76-77°F
$0 KL.
25%
78-79°F
$5 KL.
48%
80-81°F
$5 KL.
2%
82-83°F
$5 KL.
29%
84-85°F
$5 KL.
23%
86°F or higher
$10 KL.
47%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Los Angeles indicate elevated overnight lows in the low to mid-70s on August 28 amid an ongoing extreme heat wave, with highs projected near 90–102°F and only limited marine-layer cooling expected.** This positions the market's leading 67°F-or-below outcome (48% implied probability) as reflecting trader assessment of possible earlier or stronger onshore flow, model divergence on boundary-layer mixing, or microclimate differences between downtown and coastal stations like LAX. Historical August minima average around 65°F, but the current ridge-driven warmth has kept recent lows 5–10°F above normal, creating uncertainty around whether the heat will ease enough overnight to reach the lower buckets or remain anchored in the 72–75°F range favored by secondary outcomes. Updated model runs and evening briefings from NWS Los Angeles/Oxnard will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 26, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Khối lượng
$30Ngày kết thúc
Aug 28, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 26, 2026, 9:30 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Los Angeles indicate elevated overnight lows in the low to mid-70s on August 28 amid an ongoing extreme heat wave, with highs projected near 90–102°F and only limited marine-layer cooling expected.** This positions the market's leading 67°F-or-below outcome (48% implied probability) as reflecting trader assessment of possible earlier or stronger onshore flow, model divergence on boundary-layer mixing, or microclimate differences between downtown and coastal stations like LAX. Historical August minima average around 65°F, but the current ridge-driven warmth has kept recent lows 5–10°F above normal, creating uncertainty around whether the heat will ease enough overnight to reach the lower buckets or remain anchored in the 72–75°F range favored by secondary outcomes. Updated model runs and evening briefings from NWS Los Angeles/Oxnard will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$30Ngày kết thúc
Aug 28, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 26, 2026, 9:30 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Los Angeles indicate elevated overnight lows in the low to mid-70s on August 28 amid an ongoing extreme heat wave, with highs projected near 90–102°F and only limited marine-layer cooling expected.** This positions the market's leading 67°F-or-below outcome (48% implied probability) as reflecting trader assessment of possible earlier or stronger onshore flow, model divergence on boundary-layer mixing, or microclimate differences between downtown and coastal stations like LAX. Historical August minima average around 65°F, but the current ridge-driven warmth has kept recent lows 5–10°F above normal, creating uncertainty around whether the heat will ease enough overnight to reach the lower buckets or remain anchored in the 72–75°F range favored by secondary outcomes. Updated model runs and evening briefings from NWS Los Angeles/Oxnard will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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