Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Chicago on August 28 point to clear or partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds overnight, supporting efficient radiative cooling after daytime highs in the upper 70s to low 80s. This setup favors a daily minimum in the mid-60s °F, aligning with the historical average low near 65 °F and current ensemble consensus. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 64–67 °F reflects low forecast spread, while secondary outcomes near 58–59 °F capture residual uncertainty from potential thin cloud cover or minor wind shifts that could limit cooling. Updated model runs and evening observations will refine the exact threshold ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Chicago on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Chicago on August 28?
66-67°F 49%
70-71°F 45%
55°F or below 29%
58-59°F 25%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 28, 2026
55°F or below
29%
56-57°F
2%
58-59°F
25%
60-61°F
7%
62-63°F
15%
64-65°F
32%
66-67°F
27%
68-69°F
25%
70-71°F
45%
72-73°F
10%
74°F or higher
2%
66-67°F 49%
70-71°F 45%
55°F or below 29%
58-59°F 25%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 28, 2026
55°F or below
$11 KL.
29%
56-57°F
$6 KL.
2%
58-59°F
$0 KL.
25%
60-61°F
$0 KL.
7%
62-63°F
$0 KL.
15%
64-65°F
$6 KL.
32%
66-67°F
$39 KL.
27%
68-69°F
$0 KL.
25%
70-71°F
$5 KL.
45%
72-73°F
$5 KL.
10%
74°F or higher
$5 KL.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Chicago on August 28 point to clear or partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds overnight, supporting efficient radiative cooling after daytime highs in the upper 70s to low 80s. This setup favors a daily minimum in the mid-60s °F, aligning with the historical average low near 65 °F and current ensemble consensus. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 64–67 °F reflects low forecast spread, while secondary outcomes near 58–59 °F capture residual uncertainty from potential thin cloud cover or minor wind shifts that could limit cooling. Updated model runs and evening observations will refine the exact threshold ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 26, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Khối lượng
$77Ngày kết thúc
Aug 28, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 26, 2026, 9:29 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Chicago on August 28 point to clear or partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds overnight, supporting efficient radiative cooling after daytime highs in the upper 70s to low 80s. This setup favors a daily minimum in the mid-60s °F, aligning with the historical average low near 65 °F and current ensemble consensus. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 64–67 °F reflects low forecast spread, while secondary outcomes near 58–59 °F capture residual uncertainty from potential thin cloud cover or minor wind shifts that could limit cooling. Updated model runs and evening observations will refine the exact threshold ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$77Ngày kết thúc
Aug 28, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 26, 2026, 9:29 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Chicago on August 28 point to clear or partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds overnight, supporting efficient radiative cooling after daytime highs in the upper 70s to low 80s. This setup favors a daily minimum in the mid-60s °F, aligning with the historical average low near 65 °F and current ensemble consensus. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 64–67 °F reflects low forecast spread, while secondary outcomes near 58–59 °F capture residual uncertainty from potential thin cloud cover or minor wind shifts that could limit cooling. Updated model runs and evening observations will refine the exact threshold ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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