Latest global forecast models, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, place Beijing’s May 19 high near 25–27 °C under weak high-pressure ridging and light southerly flow that favors modest daytime warming. Ensemble spread remains modest because rapid nocturnal cooling and limited moisture advection constrain extremes, while historical mid-May averages of 24–26 °C anchor trader expectations. Minor differences among leading outcomes hinge on exact timing of peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing; any late-day sea-breeze intrusion or cloud cover could shave a degree, whereas clearer skies and stronger downslope warming could add one. Updated runs tomorrow morning will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Beijing on May 19?
Highest temperature in Beijing on May 19?
26°C 29%
25°C 20%
24°C 18%
27°C 16%
MỚI
MỚI
May 19, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
4%
24°C
18%
25°C
20%
26°C
29%
27°C
16%
28°C
7%
29°C
5%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
1%
26°C 29%
25°C 20%
24°C 18%
27°C 16%
MỚI
MỚI
May 19, 2026
21°C or below
$323 KL.
<1%
22°C
$532 KL.
2%
23°C
$137 KL.
4%
24°C
$167 KL.
18%
25°C
$53 KL.
20%
26°C
$10 KL.
29%
27°C
$0 KL.
16%
28°C
$0 KL.
7%
29°C
$51 KL.
5%
30°C
$33 KL.
<1%
31°C or higher
$6 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest global forecast models, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, place Beijing’s May 19 high near 25–27 °C under weak high-pressure ridging and light southerly flow that favors modest daytime warming. Ensemble spread remains modest because rapid nocturnal cooling and limited moisture advection constrain extremes, while historical mid-May averages of 24–26 °C anchor trader expectations. Minor differences among leading outcomes hinge on exact timing of peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing; any late-day sea-breeze intrusion or cloud cover could shave a degree, whereas clearer skies and stronger downslope warming could add one. Updated runs tomorrow morning will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,312Ngày kết thúc
May 19, 2026Thị trường mở
May 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest global forecast models, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, place Beijing’s May 19 high near 25–27 °C under weak high-pressure ridging and light southerly flow that favors modest daytime warming. Ensemble spread remains modest because rapid nocturnal cooling and limited moisture advection constrain extremes, while historical mid-May averages of 24–26 °C anchor trader expectations. Minor differences among leading outcomes hinge on exact timing of peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing; any late-day sea-breeze intrusion or cloud cover could shave a degree, whereas clearer skies and stronger downslope warming could add one. Updated runs tomorrow morning will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$1,312Ngày kết thúc
May 19, 2026Thị trường mở
May 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAALatest global forecast models, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, place Beijing’s May 19 high near 25–27 °C under weak high-pressure ridging and light southerly flow that favors modest daytime warming. Ensemble spread remains modest because rapid nocturnal cooling and limited moisture advection constrain extremes, while historical mid-May averages of 24–26 °C anchor trader expectations. Minor differences among leading outcomes hinge on exact timing of peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing; any late-day sea-breeze intrusion or cloud cover could shave a degree, whereas clearer skies and stronger downslope warming could add one. Updated runs tomorrow morning will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp