National Weather Service and NOAA model consensus currently favors a high-pressure ridge over north Texas with southerly flow and mostly clear skies on May 18, positioning Dallas afternoon highs in the upper 80s to low 90s. This setup supports strong daytime heating with limited cloud cover or frontal interference, keeping the 88-89°F outcome as the slim market leader at 35.5% implied probability while the closely trailing 86-87°F and 90-91°F bins reflect ongoing uncertainty in exact peak mixing and boundary-layer moisture. Historical May climatology for the region shows average highs near 85°F, so any modest strengthening of the ridge or reduced wind could push readings into the 90s, whereas increased boundary-layer clouds would favor the mid-80s range. Updated short-range guidance expected later today will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Dallas on May 18?
88-89°F 36%
90-91°F 28%
86-87°F 27%
92°F or higher 11%
$11,828 KL.
$11,828 KL.
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
27%
88-89°F
36%
90-91°F
28%
92°F or higher
11%
88-89°F 36%
90-91°F 28%
86-87°F 27%
92°F or higher 11%
$11,828 KL.
$11,828 KL.
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
27%
88-89°F
36%
90-91°F
28%
92°F or higher
11%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALNational Weather Service and NOAA model consensus currently favors a high-pressure ridge over north Texas with southerly flow and mostly clear skies on May 18, positioning Dallas afternoon highs in the upper 80s to low 90s. This setup supports strong daytime heating with limited cloud cover or frontal interference, keeping the 88-89°F outcome as the slim market leader at 35.5% implied probability while the closely trailing 86-87°F and 90-91°F bins reflect ongoing uncertainty in exact peak mixing and boundary-layer moisture. Historical May climatology for the region shows average highs near 85°F, so any modest strengthening of the ridge or reduced wind could push readings into the 90s, whereas increased boundary-layer clouds would favor the mid-80s range. Updated short-range guidance expected later today will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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