Recent forecast models for the Pearl River Delta indicate a daily high near 29°C in Guangzhou on May 18, driven by southerly flow that supports daytime heating amid typical subtropical spring conditions. Moderate humidity levels and scattered convective clouds may cap peak temperatures, aligning with the market-implied 32% probability for exactly 29°C and 22.5% for 28°C. Historical May climatology from the China Meteorological Administration shows average highs around 29–30°C, with variability tied to cloud cover and regional moisture. Traders weigh these factors against potential model shifts in the final 24 hours before resolution, reflecting genuine uncertainty in short-range temperature predictions.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Guangzhou on May 18?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on May 18?
29°C 32%
28°C 23%
30°C 22%
27°C 14%
MỚI
MỚI
May 18, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
5%
27°C
14%
28°C
23%
29°C
32%
30°C
22%
31°C
5%
32°C or higher
1%
29°C 32%
28°C 23%
30°C 22%
27°C 14%
MỚI
MỚI
May 18, 2026
22°C or below
$754 KL.
<1%
23°C
$392 KL.
<1%
24°C
$1,095 KL.
<1%
25°C
$2,821 KL.
<1%
26°C
$265 KL.
5%
27°C
$383 KL.
14%
28°C
$310 KL.
23%
29°C
$550 KL.
32%
30°C
$383 KL.
22%
31°C
$313 KL.
5%
32°C or higher
$841 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast models for the Pearl River Delta indicate a daily high near 29°C in Guangzhou on May 18, driven by southerly flow that supports daytime heating amid typical subtropical spring conditions. Moderate humidity levels and scattered convective clouds may cap peak temperatures, aligning with the market-implied 32% probability for exactly 29°C and 22.5% for 28°C. Historical May climatology from the China Meteorological Administration shows average highs around 29–30°C, with variability tied to cloud cover and regional moisture. Traders weigh these factors against potential model shifts in the final 24 hours before resolution, reflecting genuine uncertainty in short-range temperature predictions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Khối lượng
$8,106Ngày kết thúc
May 18, 2026Thị trường mở
May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast models for the Pearl River Delta indicate a daily high near 29°C in Guangzhou on May 18, driven by southerly flow that supports daytime heating amid typical subtropical spring conditions. Moderate humidity levels and scattered convective clouds may cap peak temperatures, aligning with the market-implied 32% probability for exactly 29°C and 22.5% for 28°C. Historical May climatology from the China Meteorological Administration shows average highs around 29–30°C, with variability tied to cloud cover and regional moisture. Traders weigh these factors against potential model shifts in the final 24 hours before resolution, reflecting genuine uncertainty in short-range temperature predictions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$8,106Ngày kết thúc
May 18, 2026Thị trường mở
May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGRecent forecast models for the Pearl River Delta indicate a daily high near 29°C in Guangzhou on May 18, driven by southerly flow that supports daytime heating amid typical subtropical spring conditions. Moderate humidity levels and scattered convective clouds may cap peak temperatures, aligning with the market-implied 32% probability for exactly 29°C and 22.5% for 28°C. Historical May climatology from the China Meteorological Administration shows average highs around 29–30°C, with variability tied to cloud cover and regional moisture. Traders weigh these factors against potential model shifts in the final 24 hours before resolution, reflecting genuine uncertainty in short-range temperature predictions.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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