Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts have converged on an 18°C daily maximum for London today under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow, underpinning the market's near-certain pricing for that outcome. Official guidance highlights stable atmospheric conditions with limited cloud cover allowing sufficient daytime heating, consistent with typical mid-May climatology for southeast England. Minor model spreads remain possible, but current observations show no signs of significant deviation. A sudden increase in cloudiness or an unexpected warm advection could push readings to 19°C or higher, while stronger winds or more extensive cloud might cap the peak at 17°C. Final resolution will depend on verified station data at the close of the day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in London on May 17?
Highest temperature in London on May 17?
18°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$171,318 KL.
$171,318 KL.
May 17, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
100%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
18°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$171,318 KL.
$171,318 KL.
May 17, 2026
10°C or below
$997 KL.
<1%
11°C
$1,915 KL.
<1%
12°C
$8,287 KL.
<1%
13°C
$12,717 KL.
<1%
14°C
$13,370 KL.
<1%
15°C
$24,210 KL.
<1%
16°C
$26,801 KL.
<1%
17°C
$36,028 KL.
<1%
18°C
$20,636 KL.
100%
19°C
$19,980 KL.
<1%
20°C or higher
$6,601 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts have converged on an 18°C daily maximum for London today under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow, underpinning the market's near-certain pricing for that outcome. Official guidance highlights stable atmospheric conditions with limited cloud cover allowing sufficient daytime heating, consistent with typical mid-May climatology for southeast England. Minor model spreads remain possible, but current observations show no signs of significant deviation. A sudden increase in cloudiness or an unexpected warm advection could push readings to 19°C or higher, while stronger winds or more extensive cloud might cap the peak at 17°C. Final resolution will depend on verified station data at the close of the day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Khối lượng
$171,318Ngày kết thúc
May 17, 2026Thị trường mở
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts have converged on an 18°C daily maximum for London today under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow, underpinning the market's near-certain pricing for that outcome. Official guidance highlights stable atmospheric conditions with limited cloud cover allowing sufficient daytime heating, consistent with typical mid-May climatology for southeast England. Minor model spreads remain possible, but current observations show no signs of significant deviation. A sudden increase in cloudiness or an unexpected warm advection could push readings to 19°C or higher, while stronger winds or more extensive cloud might cap the peak at 17°C. Final resolution will depend on verified station data at the close of the day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$171,318Ngày kết thúc
May 17, 2026Thị trường mở
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCRecent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts have converged on an 18°C daily maximum for London today under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow, underpinning the market's near-certain pricing for that outcome. Official guidance highlights stable atmospheric conditions with limited cloud cover allowing sufficient daytime heating, consistent with typical mid-May climatology for southeast England. Minor model spreads remain possible, but current observations show no signs of significant deviation. A sudden increase in cloudiness or an unexpected warm advection could push readings to 19°C or higher, while stronger winds or more extensive cloud might cap the peak at 17°C. Final resolution will depend on verified station data at the close of the day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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