Recent forecast updates from European models, including runs by the German Weather Service, point to a maximum of 15–16°C in Munich today under persistent cloud cover and light northeasterly flow that limits daytime heating. These conditions align with mid-May climatology, where the long-term average high sits near 17–18°C, yet current observations show suppressed warming compared with recent warmer spells. Trader positioning around the 16°C outcome at 45% implied probability reflects the narrow spread in ensemble guidance, with only modest upside risk if breaks in cloud cover develop later. Official measurements from the Munich station will resolve the market once the full diurnal cycle is complete.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Munich on May 17?
Highest temperature in Munich on May 17?
16°C 47%
15°C 32%
17°C 18%
14°C 5.1%
$16,746 KL.
$16,746 KL.
May 17, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
5%
15°C
32%
16°C
47%
17°C
18%
18°C
2%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
16°C 47%
15°C 32%
17°C 18%
14°C 5.1%
$16,746 KL.
$16,746 KL.
May 17, 2026
11°C or below
$562 KL.
<1%
12°C
$1,016 KL.
<1%
13°C
$2,105 KL.
<1%
14°C
$1,399 KL.
5%
15°C
$2,197 KL.
32%
16°C
$1,733 KL.
47%
17°C
$1,842 KL.
18%
18°C
$1,296 KL.
2%
19°C
$1,054 KL.
1%
20°C
$1,346 KL.
<1%
21°C or higher
$2,203 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast updates from European models, including runs by the German Weather Service, point to a maximum of 15–16°C in Munich today under persistent cloud cover and light northeasterly flow that limits daytime heating. These conditions align with mid-May climatology, where the long-term average high sits near 17–18°C, yet current observations show suppressed warming compared with recent warmer spells. Trader positioning around the 16°C outcome at 45% implied probability reflects the narrow spread in ensemble guidance, with only modest upside risk if breaks in cloud cover develop later. Official measurements from the Munich station will resolve the market once the full diurnal cycle is complete.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Khối lượng
$16,746Ngày kết thúc
May 17, 2026Thị trường mở
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast updates from European models, including runs by the German Weather Service, point to a maximum of 15–16°C in Munich today under persistent cloud cover and light northeasterly flow that limits daytime heating. These conditions align with mid-May climatology, where the long-term average high sits near 17–18°C, yet current observations show suppressed warming compared with recent warmer spells. Trader positioning around the 16°C outcome at 45% implied probability reflects the narrow spread in ensemble guidance, with only modest upside risk if breaks in cloud cover develop later. Official measurements from the Munich station will resolve the market once the full diurnal cycle is complete.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$16,746Ngày kết thúc
May 17, 2026Thị trường mở
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMRecent forecast updates from European models, including runs by the German Weather Service, point to a maximum of 15–16°C in Munich today under persistent cloud cover and light northeasterly flow that limits daytime heating. These conditions align with mid-May climatology, where the long-term average high sits near 17–18°C, yet current observations show suppressed warming compared with recent warmer spells. Trader positioning around the 16°C outcome at 45% implied probability reflects the narrow spread in ensemble guidance, with only modest upside risk if breaks in cloud cover develop later. Official measurements from the Munich station will resolve the market once the full diurnal cycle is complete.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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