Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Deutscher Wetterdienst models point to a daytime high near 17–18°C at Munich Airport on May 19, driven by moderate southerly flow advecting mild air ahead of a weak frontal system and limited daytime insolation under variable cloud cover. Historical May climatology at the station averages 17–19°C, providing a baseline against which current guidance shows near-normal conditions with modest uncertainty from possible afternoon clearing or scattered showers that could shift the maximum by 1–2°C. Trader consensus reflects this narrow spread, with 18°C holding a slight lead because most runs cluster just above the 17°C threshold while still allowing realistic downward revision if cloud persistence increases. Final resolution depends on the official Deutscher Wetterdienst daily maximum recorded at the airport station.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Munich on May 19?
18°C 36%
17°C 24%
16°C 22%
19°C 17%
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
22%
17°C
24%
18°C
31%
19°C
17%
20°C
4%
21°C or higher
1%
18°C 36%
17°C 24%
16°C 22%
19°C 17%
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
22%
17°C
24%
18°C
31%
19°C
17%
20°C
4%
21°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 17, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMRecent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Deutscher Wetterdienst models point to a daytime high near 17–18°C at Munich Airport on May 19, driven by moderate southerly flow advecting mild air ahead of a weak frontal system and limited daytime insolation under variable cloud cover. Historical May climatology at the station averages 17–19°C, providing a baseline against which current guidance shows near-normal conditions with modest uncertainty from possible afternoon clearing or scattered showers that could shift the maximum by 1–2°C. Trader consensus reflects this narrow spread, with 18°C holding a slight lead because most runs cluster just above the 17°C threshold while still allowing realistic downward revision if cloud persistence increases. Final resolution depends on the official Deutscher Wetterdienst daily maximum recorded at the airport station.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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