Latest high-resolution model runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) indicate a mild southwesterly flow advecting air masses with daytime highs in Munich centered near 19–20 °C for May 18. Weak surface high pressure and limited cloud cover support modest daytime heating, while boundary-layer mixing and light westerly winds introduce small uncertainty in the precise maximum. These conditions align with mid-May climatological normals of 17–19 °C, yet the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 19 °C and 20 °C reflects ongoing model spread in afternoon insolation and any late-day frontal influence. The next ECMWF and GFS updates, expected within 12 hours, will refine boundary-layer temperature profiles ahead of the resolution window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Munich on May 18?
Highest temperature in Munich on May 18?
19°C 34%
20°C 29%
18°C 16%
21°C 7%
MỚI
MỚI
May 18, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
3%
17°C
6%
18°C
16%
19°C
34%
20°C
29%
21°C
7%
22°C
4%
23°C or higher
1%
19°C 34%
20°C 29%
18°C 16%
21°C 7%
MỚI
MỚI
May 18, 2026
13°C or below
$290 KL.
<1%
14°C
$137 KL.
<1%
15°C
$153 KL.
1%
16°C
$60 KL.
3%
17°C
$243 KL.
6%
18°C
$125 KL.
16%
19°C
$82 KL.
34%
20°C
$160 KL.
29%
21°C
$168 KL.
7%
22°C
$108 KL.
4%
23°C or higher
$277 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest high-resolution model runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) indicate a mild southwesterly flow advecting air masses with daytime highs in Munich centered near 19–20 °C for May 18. Weak surface high pressure and limited cloud cover support modest daytime heating, while boundary-layer mixing and light westerly winds introduce small uncertainty in the precise maximum. These conditions align with mid-May climatological normals of 17–19 °C, yet the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 19 °C and 20 °C reflects ongoing model spread in afternoon insolation and any late-day frontal influence. The next ECMWF and GFS updates, expected within 12 hours, will refine boundary-layer temperature profiles ahead of the resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,722Ngày kết thúc
May 18, 2026Thị trường mở
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest high-resolution model runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) indicate a mild southwesterly flow advecting air masses with daytime highs in Munich centered near 19–20 °C for May 18. Weak surface high pressure and limited cloud cover support modest daytime heating, while boundary-layer mixing and light westerly winds introduce small uncertainty in the precise maximum. These conditions align with mid-May climatological normals of 17–19 °C, yet the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 19 °C and 20 °C reflects ongoing model spread in afternoon insolation and any late-day frontal influence. The next ECMWF and GFS updates, expected within 12 hours, will refine boundary-layer temperature profiles ahead of the resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$1,722Ngày kết thúc
May 18, 2026Thị trường mở
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMLatest high-resolution model runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) indicate a mild southwesterly flow advecting air masses with daytime highs in Munich centered near 19–20 °C for May 18. Weak surface high pressure and limited cloud cover support modest daytime heating, while boundary-layer mixing and light westerly winds introduce small uncertainty in the precise maximum. These conditions align with mid-May climatological normals of 17–19 °C, yet the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 19 °C and 20 °C reflects ongoing model spread in afternoon insolation and any late-day frontal influence. The next ECMWF and GFS updates, expected within 12 hours, will refine boundary-layer temperature profiles ahead of the resolution window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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