Recent National Weather Service model runs from the GFS, ECMWF, and NAM ensembles point to a peak temperature of 85–88 °F at LaGuardia Airport under mostly clear skies that enhance solar heating and surface warming. This narrow range underpins the market’s close contest between the 86–87 °F and 88–89 °F bins, which together hold over 80 % of implied probability. Subtle variations in afternoon boundary-layer mixing and exact insolation timing create the remaining spread, while typical late-May climatology for the region supports the current trader consensus. Final resolution will hinge on the official daily maximum observation, with any last-minute cloud cover or wind shifts capable of shifting outcomes within the tightly clustered probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in NYC on May 17?
Highest temperature in NYC on May 17?
88-89°F 49%
86-87°F 34%
90-91°F 15.6%
84-85°F 3.5%
$80,565 KL.
$80,565 KL.
May 17, 2026
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
34%
88-89°F
49%
90-91°F
16%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
88-89°F 49%
86-87°F 34%
90-91°F 15.6%
84-85°F 3.5%
$80,565 KL.
$80,565 KL.
May 17, 2026
79°F or below
$11,591 KL.
<1%
80-81°F
$12,019 KL.
<1%
82-83°F
$8,300 KL.
<1%
84-85°F
$8,874 KL.
3%
86-87°F
$8,188 KL.
34%
88-89°F
$6,195 KL.
49%
90-91°F
$8,492 KL.
16%
92-93°F
$6,477 KL.
1%
94-95°F
$4,868 KL.
<1%
96-97°F
$4,235 KL.
<1%
98°F or higher
$3,168 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service model runs from the GFS, ECMWF, and NAM ensembles point to a peak temperature of 85–88 °F at LaGuardia Airport under mostly clear skies that enhance solar heating and surface warming. This narrow range underpins the market’s close contest between the 86–87 °F and 88–89 °F bins, which together hold over 80 % of implied probability. Subtle variations in afternoon boundary-layer mixing and exact insolation timing create the remaining spread, while typical late-May climatology for the region supports the current trader consensus. Final resolution will hinge on the official daily maximum observation, with any last-minute cloud cover or wind shifts capable of shifting outcomes within the tightly clustered probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Khối lượng
$80,565Ngày kết thúc
May 17, 2026Thị trường mở
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service model runs from the GFS, ECMWF, and NAM ensembles point to a peak temperature of 85–88 °F at LaGuardia Airport under mostly clear skies that enhance solar heating and surface warming. This narrow range underpins the market’s close contest between the 86–87 °F and 88–89 °F bins, which together hold over 80 % of implied probability. Subtle variations in afternoon boundary-layer mixing and exact insolation timing create the remaining spread, while typical late-May climatology for the region supports the current trader consensus. Final resolution will hinge on the official daily maximum observation, with any last-minute cloud cover or wind shifts capable of shifting outcomes within the tightly clustered probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$80,565Ngày kết thúc
May 17, 2026Thị trường mở
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent National Weather Service model runs from the GFS, ECMWF, and NAM ensembles point to a peak temperature of 85–88 °F at LaGuardia Airport under mostly clear skies that enhance solar heating and surface warming. This narrow range underpins the market’s close contest between the 86–87 °F and 88–89 °F bins, which together hold over 80 % of implied probability. Subtle variations in afternoon boundary-layer mixing and exact insolation timing create the remaining spread, while typical late-May climatology for the region supports the current trader consensus. Final resolution will hinge on the official daily maximum observation, with any last-minute cloud cover or wind shifts capable of shifting outcomes within the tightly clustered probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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