Latest forecast models from major ensembles including the GFS and ECMWF project afternoon highs in Panama City reaching 33°C or above under strong solar insolation, light northwest winds, and limited cloud cover in the tropical lowland setting. This aligns with May climatology where daily maxima typically average 32–34°C, supporting the market-implied odds exceeding 99% for the 33°C threshold. Persistent morning convection or thicker cloud fields from the Intertropical Convergence Zone could cap temperatures near 32°C, though current observations and model consensus indicate low likelihood of such suppression today. Hourly METAR data from Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport will provide the definitive resolution as conditions evolve through peak heating hours.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Panama City on May 17?
33°C or higher 99.8%
32°C <1%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
$26,114 KL.
$26,114 KL.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
100%
33°C or higher 99.8%
32°C <1%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
$26,114 KL.
$26,114 KL.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGLatest forecast models from major ensembles including the GFS and ECMWF project afternoon highs in Panama City reaching 33°C or above under strong solar insolation, light northwest winds, and limited cloud cover in the tropical lowland setting. This aligns with May climatology where daily maxima typically average 32–34°C, supporting the market-implied odds exceeding 99% for the 33°C threshold. Persistent morning convection or thicker cloud fields from the Intertropical Convergence Zone could cap temperatures near 32°C, though current observations and model consensus indicate low likelihood of such suppression today. Hourly METAR data from Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport will provide the definitive resolution as conditions evolve through peak heating hours.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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