Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 97.5% implied probability to a highest temperature of 23°C or below in Qingdao on May 14, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts from the National Meteorological Center projecting a daytime peak of 18-19°C under persistent southeast winds at Beaufort force 3-4 (7-10 m/s). Cool maritime air advection from the adjacent Yellow Sea suppresses daytime heating despite ample solar insolation and clear skies, with morning lows near 15°C well below the mid-May climatological average of 21°C. ECMWF and GFS model ensembles confirm consensus on limited warm-up. Scenarios challenging this include abrupt wind lightening or unexpected cloud dissipation boosting peaks to 20-22°C; hourly observations from Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport will provide real-time resolution data through evening.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Qingdao on May 14?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on May 14?
23°C or below 97.4%
24°C 2.5%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$13,978 KL.
$13,978 KL.
May 14, 2026
23°C or below
97%
24°C
2%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
23°C or below 97.4%
24°C 2.5%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$13,978 KL.
$13,978 KL.
May 14, 2026
23°C or below
$1,967 KL.
97%
24°C
$828 KL.
2%
25°C
$1,367 KL.
<1%
26°C
$760 KL.
<1%
27°C
$1,569 KL.
<1%
28°C
$1,179 KL.
<1%
29°C
$1,275 KL.
<1%
30°C
$1,255 KL.
<1%
31°C
$1,216 KL.
<1%
32°C
$638 KL.
<1%
33°C or higher
$1,922 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 97.5% implied probability to a highest temperature of 23°C or below in Qingdao on May 14, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts from the National Meteorological Center projecting a daytime peak of 18-19°C under persistent southeast winds at Beaufort force 3-4 (7-10 m/s). Cool maritime air advection from the adjacent Yellow Sea suppresses daytime heating despite ample solar insolation and clear skies, with morning lows near 15°C well below the mid-May climatological average of 21°C. ECMWF and GFS model ensembles confirm consensus on limited warm-up. Scenarios challenging this include abrupt wind lightening or unexpected cloud dissipation boosting peaks to 20-22°C; hourly observations from Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport will provide real-time resolution data through evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 12, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
Khối lượng
$13,978Ngày kết thúc
May 14, 2026Thị trường mở
May 12, 2026, 12:16 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 97.5% implied probability to a highest temperature of 23°C or below in Qingdao on May 14, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts from the National Meteorological Center projecting a daytime peak of 18-19°C under persistent southeast winds at Beaufort force 3-4 (7-10 m/s). Cool maritime air advection from the adjacent Yellow Sea suppresses daytime heating despite ample solar insolation and clear skies, with morning lows near 15°C well below the mid-May climatological average of 21°C. ECMWF and GFS model ensembles confirm consensus on limited warm-up. Scenarios challenging this include abrupt wind lightening or unexpected cloud dissipation boosting peaks to 20-22°C; hourly observations from Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport will provide real-time resolution data through evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$13,978Ngày kết thúc
May 14, 2026Thị trường mở
May 12, 2026, 12:16 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 97.5% implied probability to a highest temperature of 23°C or below in Qingdao on May 14, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts from the National Meteorological Center projecting a daytime peak of 18-19°C under persistent southeast winds at Beaufort force 3-4 (7-10 m/s). Cool maritime air advection from the adjacent Yellow Sea suppresses daytime heating despite ample solar insolation and clear skies, with morning lows near 15°C well below the mid-May climatological average of 21°C. ECMWF and GFS model ensembles confirm consensus on limited warm-up. Scenarios challenging this include abrupt wind lightening or unexpected cloud dissipation boosting peaks to 20-22°C; hourly observations from Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport will provide real-time resolution data through evening.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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