Recent forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate a daytime maximum near 29–30°C for São Paulo on August 13, 2026, under broken cloud cover with minimal precipitation. This exceeds the climatological August average of 23–25°C, reflecting warmer-than-average winter conditions driven by regional atmospheric patterns that favor warmer air advection. Ensemble model guidance clusters tightly in the 28–31°C range, with traders assigning the highest implied probability to 30°C based on this consensus while discounting higher outcomes due to model spread and differences between urban stations and official records. Updated model runs and late-day observations from Brazilian meteorological agencies represent the primary near-term catalysts that could shift these probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 13?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 13?
30°C 62%
29°C 30%
31°C 18%
28°C 4%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 13, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
30%
30°C
62%
31°C
18%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
1%
30°C 62%
29°C 30%
31°C 18%
28°C 4%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 13, 2026
24°C or below
$201 KL.
<1%
25°C
$313 KL.
<1%
26°C
$244 KL.
<1%
27°C
$504 KL.
1%
28°C
$2,489 KL.
4%
29°C
$1,407 KL.
30%
30°C
$980 KL.
62%
31°C
$945 KL.
18%
32°C
$236 KL.
2%
33°C
$244 KL.
1%
34°C or higher
$795 KL.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate a daytime maximum near 29–30°C for São Paulo on August 13, 2026, under broken cloud cover with minimal precipitation. This exceeds the climatological August average of 23–25°C, reflecting warmer-than-average winter conditions driven by regional atmospheric patterns that favor warmer air advection. Ensemble model guidance clusters tightly in the 28–31°C range, with traders assigning the highest implied probability to 30°C based on this consensus while discounting higher outcomes due to model spread and differences between urban stations and official records. Updated model runs and late-day observations from Brazilian meteorological agencies represent the primary near-term catalysts that could shift these probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 11, 2026, 9:01 PM ET
Khối lượng
$8,358Ngày kết thúc
Aug 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 11, 2026, 9:01 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate a daytime maximum near 29–30°C for São Paulo on August 13, 2026, under broken cloud cover with minimal precipitation. This exceeds the climatological August average of 23–25°C, reflecting warmer-than-average winter conditions driven by regional atmospheric patterns that favor warmer air advection. Ensemble model guidance clusters tightly in the 28–31°C range, with traders assigning the highest implied probability to 30°C based on this consensus while discounting higher outcomes due to model spread and differences between urban stations and official records. Updated model runs and late-day observations from Brazilian meteorological agencies represent the primary near-term catalysts that could shift these probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$8,358Ngày kết thúc
Aug 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 11, 2026, 9:01 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate a daytime maximum near 29–30°C for São Paulo on August 13, 2026, under broken cloud cover with minimal precipitation. This exceeds the climatological August average of 23–25°C, reflecting warmer-than-average winter conditions driven by regional atmospheric patterns that favor warmer air advection. Ensemble model guidance clusters tightly in the 28–31°C range, with traders assigning the highest implied probability to 30°C based on this consensus while discounting higher outcomes due to model spread and differences between urban stations and official records. Updated model runs and late-day observations from Brazilian meteorological agencies represent the primary near-term catalysts that could shift these probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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