**Strong forecast consensus from major meteorological models underpins the near-certain market positioning at 22°C.** June marks winter in São Paulo, where climatological averages place daily highs near 22°C with lows around 13–15°C. Official guidance and ensemble forecasts from agencies consistently project a maximum of 22°C for June 14, 2026, amid stable atmospheric conditions with moderate cloud cover and light winds that limit diurnal warming. Historical data show rare exceedances of 24°C in mid-June without anomalous warm-air advection, which current observations and model runs do not indicate. Only an unforeseen measurement anomaly or rapid, unpredicted warming could shift the outcome, scenarios with negligible probability given the tight alignment across sources.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on June 14?
22°C 99.6%
24°C <1%
23°C <1%
25°C <1%
$38,040 KL.
$38,040 KL.
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
100%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 99.6%
24°C <1%
23°C <1%
25°C <1%
$38,040 KL.
$38,040 KL.
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
100%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Strong forecast consensus from major meteorological models underpins the near-certain market positioning at 22°C.** June marks winter in São Paulo, where climatological averages place daily highs near 22°C with lows around 13–15°C. Official guidance and ensemble forecasts from agencies consistently project a maximum of 22°C for June 14, 2026, amid stable atmospheric conditions with moderate cloud cover and light winds that limit diurnal warming. Historical data show rare exceedances of 24°C in mid-June without anomalous warm-air advection, which current observations and model runs do not indicate. Only an unforeseen measurement anomaly or rapid, unpredicted warming could shift the outcome, scenarios with negligible probability given the tight alignment across sources.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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