Current meteorological models and observational data position a maximum of 22°C as the most probable outcome for São Paulo on May 17, reflecting typical late-autumn conditions with daytime highs averaging 22–23°C. Stable high-pressure systems and moderate humidity levels have limited convective activity, keeping temperatures from exceeding seasonal norms or dropping sharply overnight. Recent model consensus from global ensembles shows minimal day-to-day variability, with wind patterns favoring gradual warming rather than rapid shifts. Traders’ heavy weighting toward 22°C captures this steady baseline, while the modest probability for 23°C or higher accounts for any localized urban heat effects or slight forecast adjustments before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on May 17?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on May 17?
22°C 77.0%
23°C or higher 26%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
$51,530 KL.
$51,530 KL.
May 17, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
77%
23°C or higher
26%
22°C 77.0%
23°C or higher 26%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
$51,530 KL.
$51,530 KL.
May 17, 2026
13°C or below
$2,459 KL.
<1%
14°C
$710 KL.
<1%
15°C
$1,223 KL.
<1%
16°C
$1,471 KL.
<1%
17°C
$1,226 KL.
<1%
18°C
$3,599 KL.
<1%
19°C
$2,217 KL.
<1%
20°C
$7,932 KL.
<1%
21°C
$14,104 KL.
<1%
22°C
$8,153 KL.
77%
23°C or higher
$8,500 KL.
26%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current meteorological models and observational data position a maximum of 22°C as the most probable outcome for São Paulo on May 17, reflecting typical late-autumn conditions with daytime highs averaging 22–23°C. Stable high-pressure systems and moderate humidity levels have limited convective activity, keeping temperatures from exceeding seasonal norms or dropping sharply overnight. Recent model consensus from global ensembles shows minimal day-to-day variability, with wind patterns favoring gradual warming rather than rapid shifts. Traders’ heavy weighting toward 22°C captures this steady baseline, while the modest probability for 23°C or higher accounts for any localized urban heat effects or slight forecast adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Khối lượng
$51,530Ngày kết thúc
May 17, 2026Thị trường mở
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current meteorological models and observational data position a maximum of 22°C as the most probable outcome for São Paulo on May 17, reflecting typical late-autumn conditions with daytime highs averaging 22–23°C. Stable high-pressure systems and moderate humidity levels have limited convective activity, keeping temperatures from exceeding seasonal norms or dropping sharply overnight. Recent model consensus from global ensembles shows minimal day-to-day variability, with wind patterns favoring gradual warming rather than rapid shifts. Traders’ heavy weighting toward 22°C captures this steady baseline, while the modest probability for 23°C or higher accounts for any localized urban heat effects or slight forecast adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$51,530Ngày kết thúc
May 17, 2026Thị trường mở
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRCurrent meteorological models and observational data position a maximum of 22°C as the most probable outcome for São Paulo on May 17, reflecting typical late-autumn conditions with daytime highs averaging 22–23°C. Stable high-pressure systems and moderate humidity levels have limited convective activity, keeping temperatures from exceeding seasonal norms or dropping sharply overnight. Recent model consensus from global ensembles shows minimal day-to-day variability, with wind patterns favoring gradual warming rather than rapid shifts. Traders’ heavy weighting toward 22°C captures this steady baseline, while the modest probability for 23°C or higher accounts for any localized urban heat effects or slight forecast adjustments before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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