The overwhelming market consensus around a 27°C high in Shanghai today stems from the latest observational data and numerical weather prediction models showing stable subtropical high-pressure dominance with clear skies and light southerly flow across the Yangtze River Delta. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicates peak afternoon temperatures will reach precisely this threshold before cooling under diurnal cycles, consistent with mid-May climatological baselines of 25–28°C for the region. Resolution depends on standardized station measurements at Hongqiao or Pudong, where any shift would require an unexpected frontal passage or localized heat island intensification—scenarios with low probability given current model agreement and minimal forecast spread.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Shanghai on May 17?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on May 17?
27°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$138,393 KL.
$138,393 KL.
May 17, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$138,393 KL.
$138,393 KL.
May 17, 2026
21°C or below
$2,126 KL.
<1%
22°C
$6,104 KL.
<1%
23°C
$7,388 KL.
<1%
24°C
$8,608 KL.
<1%
25°C
$19,138 KL.
<1%
26°C
$18,659 KL.
<1%
27°C
$28,319 KL.
100%
28°C
$14,226 KL.
<1%
29°C
$14,919 KL.
<1%
30°C
$11,970 KL.
<1%
31°C or higher
$6,937 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The overwhelming market consensus around a 27°C high in Shanghai today stems from the latest observational data and numerical weather prediction models showing stable subtropical high-pressure dominance with clear skies and light southerly flow across the Yangtze River Delta. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicates peak afternoon temperatures will reach precisely this threshold before cooling under diurnal cycles, consistent with mid-May climatological baselines of 25–28°C for the region. Resolution depends on standardized station measurements at Hongqiao or Pudong, where any shift would require an unexpected frontal passage or localized heat island intensification—scenarios with low probability given current model agreement and minimal forecast spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Khối lượng
$138,393Ngày kết thúc
May 17, 2026Thị trường mở
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The overwhelming market consensus around a 27°C high in Shanghai today stems from the latest observational data and numerical weather prediction models showing stable subtropical high-pressure dominance with clear skies and light southerly flow across the Yangtze River Delta. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicates peak afternoon temperatures will reach precisely this threshold before cooling under diurnal cycles, consistent with mid-May climatological baselines of 25–28°C for the region. Resolution depends on standardized station measurements at Hongqiao or Pudong, where any shift would require an unexpected frontal passage or localized heat island intensification—scenarios with low probability given current model agreement and minimal forecast spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$138,393Ngày kết thúc
May 17, 2026Thị trường mở
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDThe overwhelming market consensus around a 27°C high in Shanghai today stems from the latest observational data and numerical weather prediction models showing stable subtropical high-pressure dominance with clear skies and light southerly flow across the Yangtze River Delta. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicates peak afternoon temperatures will reach precisely this threshold before cooling under diurnal cycles, consistent with mid-May climatological baselines of 25–28°C for the region. Resolution depends on standardized station measurements at Hongqiao or Pudong, where any shift would require an unexpected frontal passage or localized heat island intensification—scenarios with low probability given current model agreement and minimal forecast spread.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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