Ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System currently indicate a daily maximum of 27°C in Shanghai driven by persistent high-pressure ridging that promotes subsidence warming and light southerly flow advecting milder air masses. This setup has pushed the market-implied probability for 27°C to 100 percent, well above the mid-May climatological normal near 25°C under stable conditions and minimal cloud cover. Traders monitor final updates from the Shanghai Meteorological Service for any last shifts in wind or moisture that could alter the exact peak. Resolution hinges on the official observation at Shanghai Pudong International Airport, with realistic challenges limited to unexpected frontal passage or model revisions in the final hours.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Shanghai on May 17?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on May 17?
27°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$138,373 KL.
$138,373 KL.
May 17, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$138,373 KL.
$138,373 KL.
May 17, 2026
21°C or below
$2,126 KL.
<1%
22°C
$6,104 KL.
<1%
23°C
$7,388 KL.
<1%
24°C
$8,608 KL.
<1%
25°C
$19,138 KL.
<1%
26°C
$18,659 KL.
<1%
27°C
$28,317 KL.
100%
28°C
$14,208 KL.
<1%
29°C
$14,919 KL.
<1%
30°C
$11,970 KL.
<1%
31°C or higher
$6,937 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System currently indicate a daily maximum of 27°C in Shanghai driven by persistent high-pressure ridging that promotes subsidence warming and light southerly flow advecting milder air masses. This setup has pushed the market-implied probability for 27°C to 100 percent, well above the mid-May climatological normal near 25°C under stable conditions and minimal cloud cover. Traders monitor final updates from the Shanghai Meteorological Service for any last shifts in wind or moisture that could alter the exact peak. Resolution hinges on the official observation at Shanghai Pudong International Airport, with realistic challenges limited to unexpected frontal passage or model revisions in the final hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Khối lượng
$138,373Ngày kết thúc
May 17, 2026Thị trường mở
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System currently indicate a daily maximum of 27°C in Shanghai driven by persistent high-pressure ridging that promotes subsidence warming and light southerly flow advecting milder air masses. This setup has pushed the market-implied probability for 27°C to 100 percent, well above the mid-May climatological normal near 25°C under stable conditions and minimal cloud cover. Traders monitor final updates from the Shanghai Meteorological Service for any last shifts in wind or moisture that could alter the exact peak. Resolution hinges on the official observation at Shanghai Pudong International Airport, with realistic challenges limited to unexpected frontal passage or model revisions in the final hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$138,373Ngày kết thúc
May 17, 2026Thị trường mở
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDEnsemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System currently indicate a daily maximum of 27°C in Shanghai driven by persistent high-pressure ridging that promotes subsidence warming and light southerly flow advecting milder air masses. This setup has pushed the market-implied probability for 27°C to 100 percent, well above the mid-May climatological normal near 25°C under stable conditions and minimal cloud cover. Traders monitor final updates from the Shanghai Meteorological Service for any last shifts in wind or moisture that could alter the exact peak. Resolution hinges on the official observation at Shanghai Pudong International Airport, with realistic challenges limited to unexpected frontal passage or model revisions in the final hours.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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