Weather model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF ensembles has converged on a daytime maximum of 27°C for Shenzhen today, driving the near-certain market-implied probability for that outcome. Persistent high pressure, light winds, and scattered cloud cover are moderating daytime heating in line with typical subtropical spring patterns, where May highs average 26–28°C. Official observations at Shenzhen Bao’an International Airport will determine resolution, though localized urban heat effects or slight forecast revisions could still produce a 1°C deviation in either direction. Traders appear to have incorporated the latest ensemble runs showing low variability, leaving little room for alternative temperature thresholds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Shenzhen on May 17?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on May 17?
27°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$50,689 KL.
$50,689 KL.
May 17, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$50,689 KL.
$50,689 KL.
May 17, 2026
21°C or below
$1,761 KL.
<1%
22°C
$1,788 KL.
<1%
23°C
$2,875 KL.
<1%
24°C
$5,998 KL.
<1%
25°C
$2,854 KL.
<1%
26°C
$5,483 KL.
<1%
27°C
$12,293 KL.
100%
28°C
$5,473 KL.
<1%
29°C
$4,837 KL.
<1%
30°C
$2,286 KL.
<1%
31°C or higher
$5,040 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Weather model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF ensembles has converged on a daytime maximum of 27°C for Shenzhen today, driving the near-certain market-implied probability for that outcome. Persistent high pressure, light winds, and scattered cloud cover are moderating daytime heating in line with typical subtropical spring patterns, where May highs average 26–28°C. Official observations at Shenzhen Bao’an International Airport will determine resolution, though localized urban heat effects or slight forecast revisions could still produce a 1°C deviation in either direction. Traders appear to have incorporated the latest ensemble runs showing low variability, leaving little room for alternative temperature thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Khối lượng
$50,689Ngày kết thúc
May 17, 2026Thị trường mở
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Weather model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF ensembles has converged on a daytime maximum of 27°C for Shenzhen today, driving the near-certain market-implied probability for that outcome. Persistent high pressure, light winds, and scattered cloud cover are moderating daytime heating in line with typical subtropical spring patterns, where May highs average 26–28°C. Official observations at Shenzhen Bao’an International Airport will determine resolution, though localized urban heat effects or slight forecast revisions could still produce a 1°C deviation in either direction. Traders appear to have incorporated the latest ensemble runs showing low variability, leaving little room for alternative temperature thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$50,689Ngày kết thúc
May 17, 2026Thị trường mở
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZWeather model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF ensembles has converged on a daytime maximum of 27°C for Shenzhen today, driving the near-certain market-implied probability for that outcome. Persistent high pressure, light winds, and scattered cloud cover are moderating daytime heating in line with typical subtropical spring patterns, where May highs average 26–28°C. Official observations at Shenzhen Bao’an International Airport will determine resolution, though localized urban heat effects or slight forecast revisions could still produce a 1°C deviation in either direction. Traders appear to have incorporated the latest ensemble runs showing low variability, leaving little room for alternative temperature thresholds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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