Forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF ensembles show persistent cloud cover and scattered showers over the Pearl River Delta on May 18, limiting solar heating and anchoring Shenzhen’s daytime maximum near 27–29°C. This setup creates genuine uncertainty among traders, with implied probabilities clustered tightly around those three outcomes as variable precipitation timing and intensity could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical May averages near 29.5°C provide context, yet current humid conditions and reduced insolation favor the cooler side of the range. Final resolution depends on official hourly observations from Shenzhen Bao’an International Airport, with any unexpected afternoon clearing offering the main pathway for a brief spike toward 30°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Shenzhen on May 18?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on May 18?
27°C 30%
29°C 30%
28°C 28%
30°C 12%
MỚI
MỚI
May 18, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
30%
28°C
28%
29°C
30%
30°C
12%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
1%
27°C 30%
29°C 30%
28°C 28%
30°C 12%
MỚI
MỚI
May 18, 2026
22°C or below
$592 KL.
<1%
23°C
$382 KL.
<1%
24°C
$443 KL.
<1%
25°C
$1,137 KL.
1%
26°C
$343 KL.
3%
27°C
$957 KL.
30%
28°C
$495 KL.
28%
29°C
$462 KL.
30%
30°C
$556 KL.
12%
31°C
$343 KL.
2%
32°C or higher
$548 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF ensembles show persistent cloud cover and scattered showers over the Pearl River Delta on May 18, limiting solar heating and anchoring Shenzhen’s daytime maximum near 27–29°C. This setup creates genuine uncertainty among traders, with implied probabilities clustered tightly around those three outcomes as variable precipitation timing and intensity could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical May averages near 29.5°C provide context, yet current humid conditions and reduced insolation favor the cooler side of the range. Final resolution depends on official hourly observations from Shenzhen Bao’an International Airport, with any unexpected afternoon clearing offering the main pathway for a brief spike toward 30°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Khối lượng
$6,251Ngày kết thúc
May 18, 2026Thị trường mở
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF ensembles show persistent cloud cover and scattered showers over the Pearl River Delta on May 18, limiting solar heating and anchoring Shenzhen’s daytime maximum near 27–29°C. This setup creates genuine uncertainty among traders, with implied probabilities clustered tightly around those three outcomes as variable precipitation timing and intensity could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical May averages near 29.5°C provide context, yet current humid conditions and reduced insolation favor the cooler side of the range. Final resolution depends on official hourly observations from Shenzhen Bao’an International Airport, with any unexpected afternoon clearing offering the main pathway for a brief spike toward 30°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$6,251Ngày kết thúc
May 18, 2026Thị trường mở
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZForecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF ensembles show persistent cloud cover and scattered showers over the Pearl River Delta on May 18, limiting solar heating and anchoring Shenzhen’s daytime maximum near 27–29°C. This setup creates genuine uncertainty among traders, with implied probabilities clustered tightly around those three outcomes as variable precipitation timing and intensity could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical May averages near 29.5°C provide context, yet current humid conditions and reduced insolation favor the cooler side of the range. Final resolution depends on official hourly observations from Shenzhen Bao’an International Airport, with any unexpected afternoon clearing offering the main pathway for a brief spike toward 30°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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