Current forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration project a daily maximum of 31°C in Taipei on May 17, supported by light easterly flow, minimal cloud cover, and stable early-summer synoptic patterns ahead of the Meiyu front. These conditions favor strong daytime heating under clear skies, consistent with historical May baselines for the region where highs typically range 28–32°C absent frontal activity. Market-implied odds reflect this consensus, assigning near-certainty to the 31°C bin while assigning negligible probability to deviations. A shift in steering winds or earlier moisture intrusion from the southwest could increase cloudiness and cap temperatures below this threshold, though model runs show limited divergence through the afternoon observation window at Taipei Songshan Airport.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Taipei on May 17?
31°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$111,732 KL.
$111,732 KL.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
31°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$111,732 KL.
$111,732 KL.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSCurrent forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration project a daily maximum of 31°C in Taipei on May 17, supported by light easterly flow, minimal cloud cover, and stable early-summer synoptic patterns ahead of the Meiyu front. These conditions favor strong daytime heating under clear skies, consistent with historical May baselines for the region where highs typically range 28–32°C absent frontal activity. Market-implied odds reflect this consensus, assigning near-certainty to the 31°C bin while assigning negligible probability to deviations. A shift in steering winds or earlier moisture intrusion from the southwest could increase cloudiness and cap temperatures below this threshold, though model runs show limited divergence through the afternoon observation window at Taipei Songshan Airport.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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